I should clarify.
Democrats are outpacing their 2012 numbers by a substantial margin. Not HUGE, but substantial enough to be noted.
Obama won in Nevada by 7 points. However, the last polls in Nevada in 2012, had Obama winning by 3.8 points. Current polls have Trump up by about that margin. This one is down to the wire. Trump could win it, and dont let anyone say otherwise. It is possible. But it will be down to an enthusiasm surge on the day.
If poll numbers are suggesting that Trump is doing 11 points better than Romney in Nevada then I like his chances in a number of other states — even if the poll numbers are wrong and he’s only doing 4-5 points better than Romney.