I work on data, not on what Trump is doing. I have no idea why he is going to Minnesota, when data would more strongly support doing the rounds in Michigan, or heck, even New Mexico. I dont think we can be reasonable in saying “Trump went somewhere! victory!”
I do agree that North Carolina is very strong for Trump. I do think he will win there. You are also right on Florida early voting, and if Trump wins Florida, I think he will win on Tuesday, but it is still a squeaker, especially as national polls have clinton up by just shy of 2 points there, at a time when her numbers tanked in states like New Hampshire
I work on the data that a few days ago (but it seems like an eternity) polls came out showing that the GOP could win in Minnesota’s Iron Range (including Duluth).
That is not due to the Congressional candidate, but to Trump. And other polls show a race of 1%: and I have had co-workers who I thought were libs, tell me laughingly of anti-Hillary ads they saw on TV.