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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide; Steely Tom
-- The difference between the LA Times poll and all the others methodologically is that the others count only whole votes for candidates and some will add in leaners while the LAT poll allows respondents to rate their commitment on a 0-100 scale. --

If the poll website is accurate and honest, your claim does not apply to the poll that is the subject of the OP.

Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS election panel to answer three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that ... (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in, we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of all of the prior week's responses. To find out more about what lies behind the vote, each week we also ask respondents one or two extra questions about their preferences and values.

You'll find that neat the bottom of the page, under "About the Survey"

58 posted on 11/05/2016 1:26:33 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Cboldt

>What is the percent chance that

Yes? That is not 0-100?

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-poll-faq-20161006-snap-story.html

How is the Daybreak poll different from other surveys?

The poll asks a different question than other surveys. Most polls ask people which candidate they support and, if they are undecided, whether there is a candidate they lean to. The Daybreak poll asks people to estimate, on a scale of 0 to 100, how likely they are to vote for each of the two major candidates or for some other candidate. Those estimates are then put together to produce a daily forecast.


64 posted on 11/05/2016 2:20:32 AM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Reverse Wickard v Filburn (1942) - and - ISLAM DELENDA EST)
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