>What is the percent chance that
Yes? That is not 0-100?
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-poll-faq-20161006-snap-story.html
How is the Daybreak poll different from other surveys?
The poll asks a different question than other surveys. Most polls ask people which candidate they support and, if they are undecided, whether there is a candidate they lean to. The Daybreak poll asks people to estimate, on a scale of 0 to 100, how likely they are to vote for each of the two major candidates or for some other candidate. Those estimates are then put together to produce a daily forecast.
#64 Plagiarized version above
Has this 0-100 procedure been tested for accuracy in its predictions? Anyway, I like the trend. May it continue.