Posted on 11/02/2016 4:25:54 AM PDT by CWW
It comes down to states like PA.
Hi, Mr. Oblomov:
Before I’m forced to post a vanity question, do you know where I can go to find the R vs. D breakdown of past elections? I googled, but struck out.
Thanks,
Rick
BS... Hillary couldn’t, if the stars aligned absolutely perfect for her hit 46% on election day.
BS... Hillary couldn’t, if the stars aligned absolutely perfect for her hit 46% on election day.
At this point close polls are just out there for Propaganda, in hopes to motivate Hillary supporters to show up...
Fight hard, GOTV, fight like we are losing, but any poll, and I do me ANY poll showing Hillary above 45% IS A COMPLETE FABRICATION.
The only way she can get above the low 40s is if Trump voters stay home.. and that’s not happening. I give the polls 2 points of leeway for MOE.
Honestly I expect a 8-10 point election on the high end, 5 on the low.
R+2 is a nice dream... this isn’t an off year election.
National registration is D32 R28 I40.
Hillary will underperform in every demographic compared to Obama in 12, but odds of D turnout under performing by 6 points from its registration levels is a bit overly optimistic IMHO.
Trump is winning, and assuming the Monster Vote exists, should win by a very very good margin, but he’ll be doing a good bit of that by getting D votes... not by having massively low D turnout relative to their registration levels.
All of the networks are quick to report the polls and never, never give any internals. Like +8 Dem over-sample.
You can click on the various election years, then go to the 2008 Group Voting (or whatever year you happen to be looking at) for various breakdowns, including party affiliation.
And it does not offer a breakdown by state, which makes it worthless.
It also has been stated here and elsewhere that _blank_% of the electorate "has already voted" but not a soul in the room knows that true percentage until after in-person voting is concluded on Nov 8. It may be as little as 10%.
I think she loses -2 for not being Amish and -1 to BernBros staying home/going to GaryJohnPot or JillScwein.
That's kind of a combo of '92 and '04. She cannot win at D+3.
In fact, at D+3 she could lose big if the Monster vote were to deliver a Trump one-off surprise like late-voting MI.
WTF is wrong with you.. seriously.
“Crap”
Grow a pair
Again, I EXPECT her to lose and lose big... but turnout expectations of R+2 are IMHO pipe dream. No doubt Hillary will under perform across every demographic compared to Barry... and no doubt D turnout will be well below 12 levels, but to think we’re looking at mid term election turnouts levels of R+2 I think is just a bit self delusional.
Trump will outperform the last 3 Republican candidates easily, IMHO, but we aren’t looking at an R+2 election.
Troll!
I don’t think he won the first election with that many EV’s.
Untrue.
Would I lie to you? Go look it up.
Reagan then beat Mondale in 1984 with 525 EVs to Mondale’s 13, LOL!
NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE CLINTON CRIME FAMILY.
The rats won't let go of the executive position without a h*ll of a fight. The dumbed down, the low intelligence, the gibsmedats who put the Marxist/Muslim in our White House are still out there
Hillary is so close, and she knows this is her last chance. She will resort to anything
The Rats are scared to death Donald will get in and undo the damage Obama has done to our country.
THERE WILL BE MASSIVE VOTER FRAUD.
As Donald said, 'We are at a crossroads in our history'. We MUST win this election!
THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ELECTION OF OF OUR LIFETIME
GET OUT AND VOTE!
WE MUST MAKE THIS THE BIGGEST REPUBLICAN VOTER TURNOUT IN HISTORY!
(See Tag)
Pray to keep Donald safe.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.