Posted on 10/30/2016 7:15:15 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
Hillary Clinton 48 Donald Trump 40 Gary Johnson 5 Jill Sein 2
(Excerpt) Read more at d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net ...
In the YouGov election model, Pennsylvania is essentially tied, with Trump having an insignificant 0.1 percentage point lead over Clinton, 46.6 to 46.5 percent.
https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania
But, CBS, working with essentially the same data, turns Pennsylvania blue by 8 points.
Que Pasa?
CBS/YouGov polls for Colorado and North Carolina, on the other hand, look similar to the YouGov model. With fast moving developments, uncertainties concerning turnout, and favorable statistics concerning early voting in North Carolina, the only conclusion is that the election in each of these state is close.
No one buys this crap. Trump is winning in PA.
It looks like the Clinton Broadcasting System is still holding out hope for Hillary.
No one buys this crap. Trump is winning in PA.
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I don’t know but if Trump wins PA, it’s over for Hillary.
The media will go all out to attempt to assure that Pa does not go to Trump. That is their last firewall and if Trump takes PA, the election will be over before the polls close in Ca.
Absolutely baffling why anyone in Penn. would vote for the Clinton crime family. She blatantly said she will destroy the Penn. economy, no coal mines, no steel mills, more regulations, more EPA totalitarianism, yeah real good for the state.
Dem oversampling? Indie undersampling? both?
CC
I’ve had Dem canvassers come to my door twice in the last three days. That does not sound like a party that has confidence they have PA in the bag.
The LSM is doubling down no matter what the majority of the people believe. They’re targeting that tiny minority of people that still believe whatever comes out of the media.
I think it’s a foregone conclusion that Trump wins former battleground states OH, FL, and NC. But, he needs something else.
PA would seal the deal, but everyone had him behind and closing until the recent YouGov poll and recent events. If the MSM is to hold the line on the idea that he can’t breach Hillary’s firewall of big liberal states, you’d expect some of the last poll manipulations to occur in places like PA, CO, MI, WI, etc.
I drove from Tennessee to New England, and I can tell you that in PA I saw exclusively Trump signs. But, I was either on the highway or on secondary roads; I wasn’t in the cities, where the Dems are clustered. Still, it was a hopeful sign.
Is the sampling info available?
Well that would be a landslide, if we have a decision before the west coast polls close.
Imagine all the liberal snarky news people announcing that Trump has won. Imagine them having to announce it so early in the evening. That would give them lots of airtime on election night to fill, as they dissect elections results and exit polls and such.
Unbelievable.
Look at the details. Question 27; 38% strongly Democrat or Lean Democrat; 26% strong GOP or lean GOP! +12 Dem!
Gee, a CBS poll. Shocked it is heavily weighted Dem!
2012 Democrat advantage was 5.4%. Numerous articles about the shift to GOP the last year or so. Still, they use +12 Dem. Shameless.
Because of Philly districts that vote 100% Dem and because of suburban twits who think electricity is generated by unicorn farts.
“I post this poll because the CBS version of YouGov differs enormously from the YouGov version of YouGov. “
The only question is why you decided to post the SeeBS poll instead of the YouGov poll which has a much better track record.
Perhaps there is a way to find out some more about the poll that is referenced in the link to the poll.
They’re pumping out a lot of “pre FBI reopens investigation” polls today!
Still, most of them show her slipping.
This is the news item I hope to hear on election night:
“Our decision desk has determined the 45th president will be Donald Trump. Meanwhile, no one can locate Hillery Clinton as she was last seen headed to Dulles Airport sans her secret service protection. The FAA has grounded all flights from Dulles”
It all depends on turnout. Will blacks turn out in record numbers in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (particularly Philadelphia!) like they did for Zero in 2008 & 2012 or will it fall back to historic levels? Will rural & semi-rural blue collar residents turn out in record numbers, particularly those who have felt so marginalized that they have given up on voting?
Also for the blacks that do vote, has Trump eroded the normal lockstep numbers that vote Rat?
Yeah, the YouGov prediction currently has Hillary ahead by about one state and shows her downward trend.
https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
Used to like YouGov before they partnered with HuffPost and the like.
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