Posted on 10/24/2016 6:39:38 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 38.2% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point.
40.3% of REP ballots, have been returned and 38.8% of DEM ballots have been returned.
10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%
10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%
10/22/16: REPs - 463,959, DEMs - 443,502 lead of 20,457 for REPs, 41.8% to 40.0%
10/21/16: REPs - 416,778, DEMs - 399,434 lead of 17,344 for REPs, 41.8% to 40.0%
10/20/16: REPs - 369,467, DEMs - 356,635 lead of 12,832 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.2%
For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots plus in-person early voting):
10/24/16: REPs - 33,400, DEMs - 38,935, lead of 5,535 for DEMs
10/23/16: REPs - 31,163, DEMs - 36,362, lead of 5,199 for DEMs
10/22/16: REPs - 31,163, DEMs - 36,362, lead of 5,199 for DEMs
10/21/16: REPs - 28,710, DEMs - 33,635, lead of 4,925 for DEMs
10/20/16: REPs - 26,515, DEMs - 31,311, lead of 4,796 for DEMs
2012 (ballots cast, not yet counted)
Absentee Ballot - REPs led by 79,000
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs led by 247,000
Combined Early voting - DEMs led by 168,000
2016 (ballots cast, not yet counted)
Absentee Ballot - REPs lead by 20,613
In-Person Early Voting - 0
Combined Early voting - REPs lead by 20,613
ping
Thank you for doing this...
Will be interesting to see the partisan breakdown once in-person early voting starts. In NC, they are having problems with African-American turnout so far in early voting.
It seems R absentee returns are picking up slightly (hurricane)?
Meanwhile with Hillsborough, with just 14 day left to receive ballots (right? Or 15)
Ds are very behind (end -50%?)
Good point.
I don’t believe many are putting much stock in the Axiom Strategies Battleground County poll. Not sure why as it seems very accurate and Trump has been showing between a 1% - 3% lead in Hillsborough County.
For Hillsborough, remember the 20,000 vote lead DEMs had in 2012 was for combined in-person early voting plus absentee voting.
In-person early voting is just starting, so have to wait to see how Hillsborough compares to 2012.
Anxiously awaiting good news from early voting.
Meanwhile...
here’s a vid of the line at today’s Trump rally 6 HOURS before it starts:
https://twitter.com/i/videos/tweet/790542753235083264
Why on Earth would hundreds of people arrive 6 hours before the rally?
Enthusiasm.
“I Have Sworn Upon the Altar of God eternal hostility against every form of tyranny”
I visited the Jefferson Memorial in DC a number of years ago. Sadly, at least when I was there, not many other people were there. It seemed to me, one of the lesser tourist sites. Too bad.
AA turnout in Ohio also down during absentee voting. From 10% in 2012 to 7% in 2016.
So far, in Florida, last I saw was 8% in 2012 and 8% in 2016 for absentee voting. Whites down slightly and Hispanics up slightly.
I figure that there will be less blacks voting than in '08/'12, and more of them will be voting for Trump. Thus giving Trump a bigger piece of a smaller pie.
Just kinda interesting that all Hillsborough numbers are +/- 5,000 votes to the dems. Just interesting.
6.4% according to election smith’s last post regarding demographics.
Make heads or tails of this...Seems positive overall.
Read exclusive on 10/22.
Hearing on Twitter that Cankles has pulled ads and staff from NC and FL (!!) and has redirected everything to PA.
link? Seems too good to be true.
From yesterday, according to Election Smith:
“Absentee ballots cast in 2012 GE at this time, 80% by Whites, 9% by Hispanics, 8% by blacks. Thru 10/22/2016, the %s are:
76% W
12% H
8% B”
I think the 8% turnout data is later than the 6.2% number.
The one takeaway from all the early voting numbers out of Iowa, Ohio, NC, Florida - THERE IS NO CLINTON POPULAR VOTE LANDSLIDE. No 12 point margin as ABC says. The vote is looking close.
There could be an electoral vote landslide, IF all the swing states break for one candidate.
Right now, this election can still be won by Trump. The main problem I see for Trump right now, is winning Iowa, Ohio, NC, Florida puts him around 260 electoral votes.
He will need 10 more. That is where PA, CO, NV, NH comes in. I personally think his best shot, is to win the working class vote in PA with decreased AA turnout.
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