I remember November 1980. I was there, in line waiting among hundreds of others in my precinct.
I have that very same feeling today. I can literally see the tsunami that will unfold.
During the primaries from NY to IN Trump over-performed his Real Clear Politics averages by 9 points. Even in Wisconsin, one of his biggest defeats, he over-performed his RCP average by .6.
There is definitely an enthusiasm gap between Clinton and Trump. Yesterday, he had 3 campaign events. Between his Facebook and youtube, all 3 events have had over 1 MILLION views as of last night. This morning I see that his Gettysburg speech has about 800,000 views just on youtube, and another 1.2 MILLION on his Facebook.
There is definitely something going on out there that the pollsters have failed to key into, either that or they know what is going on and they are desperately trying to derail it.
It is clearly like the NFL discussing why viewership is down over 10% this year. Why it is the weather, global warming, pumpkin picking, the election or people are taking their kids back to college that weekend. Anything but the really reason. The NFL has become totally PC. They forgot who they are much like Penney’s and Target. Tell me why a game that takes 60 minutes to play is now three and a half hours? The PC junk said by the announcers and the social commentary have driven people away. for me it’s grand daughter’s Sunday softball is more important. Pure love and joy. Bye bye NFL.
The IBD TPP tracking shows Trump slightly ahead. LA Times shows the race essentially tied with Trump slightly ahead. Rasmussen shows Trump ahead. The latest MI poll shows Clinton ahead by 5 in a 4 way 8 in a 2 way. I think Trump could very well win MI. While a lot of attention has been paid to the hispanic vote and the woman’s vote they are totally ignoring the male and white vote except when it is to deride it. Men tend to vote at a rate a few points less than women. Men tend to occupy those classes of manufacturing jobs that Trump is talking about bringing back. Trump is winning Men by double digits and in the LaTimes USC and IBD TPP tracking his man card is much bigger than Clinton’s woman card. I’ve not dug into the details of whether men are more likely to vote but I suspect that is indeed the case.
The question is, will Clinton accept the results?
Yes Trump could still win. He needs to take the advice of Conway, Newt, Pence, etal and run on the issues.
Talk of suing nobodies after the election makes him look very small and petty, especially to the undecided. We are against frivolous law suits.
Before election day, millions of voters will get notice of the increase in their health care premium. Trump should be carefully planning how to exploit the Healthcare issue.
The other thing Trump campaign should be doing is convincing his supporters to make friends with their neighbors.
Thank you for posting this for those who haven’t read it.