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Betting Markets that Predicted Brexit Vote Are Pointing to Trump Victory
The Gateway Pundit ^ | October 19, 2016 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 10/19/2016 8:18:12 AM PDT by bobsunshine

Despite the constant drubbing by the corrupt media betting markets are predicting a Trump victory in November.

The Independent reported: It is news that will strike fear into the hearts of perhaps half of America and large chunks of the world outside of it.

Despite a calamitous week of campaigning, betting markets on the US election are almost a mirror image of those on Britain’s EU referendum at this stage. And they could be pointing to a victory for Donald Trump. Bookmaker William Hill says 71 per cent of the money so far staked is for Democrat Hillary Clinton. But 65 per cent of the bets by number are for the controversial Republican.

That means a lot more punters are putting smaller bets on Trump, almost exactly the same pattern as was seen in the run up to the Brexit vote when the money was for Remain but the majority of bets were for Leave.

The bookie has cut the odds on a Trump victory from 11-2 to 4-1 over the past two days in response to a surge in bets for the reality TV star and businessman turned politician.

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; trump
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To: maro
Because the big money is on Hillary, the “market” is saying she will win. If we are talking markets, there is no reason to exclude the big money.

They place big money where they think they'll get the largest payoff - which means the more remote possibility. That's what this story is about. Fewer bets are being placed on Trump winning because the calculus says it's more likely he'll win, and thus lower payoff.

21 posted on 10/19/2016 9:18:05 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled. - Mark Twain)
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To: bobsunshine



T T T T ! ! ! ©


22 posted on 10/19/2016 9:52:41 AM PDT by onyx (YOU'RE POSTI NG HERE, SO DONATE MONTHLY! NOT NICE TO FREEPLOAD!)
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To: bobsunshine

This will be the biggest landslide for Trump in modern American history.


23 posted on 10/19/2016 9:55:28 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: bobsunshine

The last few weeks have been just invented reality for the left.... polls showing a candidate who can’t draw a crowd to save her life as being up nearly 10 or more upper 40s to mid 50s? Showing Trump support in the mid to upper 30s... its just flat out laughable.

Sorry folks, this stuff is just insanity.

There have only been 3 possible outcomes of this election:

Blowout for Trump
Squeaker for Trump
Squeaker for Hillary

The insane narrative being presented of a blowout for Hillary is impossible. Trump only up 3 in Texas???? Come one...

These are either intentional psyops to depress Trump turnout, or they are so bad at actually getting a hold of a reasonable sample, that the polls are utterly useless.

To put this idiocy in perspective... For Trump to only get 37% of the vote on election day would mean he will underperform MONDALE... and that’s just laughable.

Dornslife, which at leas you have a good baseline with, whether you agree with their overall methodology or not, they are a good baseline since its the same folks sampled day in and day out, certainly shows some movement in the race to a tightening.... but not every respondent responds every day... so I’d be interested in seeing if their respondent rates have dropped recently and if so, by whom.

One thing for sure though, there is not way on God’s green earth we are on the verge of a landslide for Hillary... this narrative is insane.


24 posted on 10/19/2016 10:03:47 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay
One thing for sure though, there is not way on God’s green earth we are on the verge of a landslide for Hillary... this narrative is insane.

Yep, 100% correct. Same thing the insiders attempted to pull several times in the primaries with Rubio, Cruz, Bush, etc, telling all Trump was slipping and on and on.

The same thing is happening right now folks! It's all head games by those with bad intent.

Trump wins this big.

25 posted on 10/19/2016 10:38:39 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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