At this time, I'm predicting 78% of REP absentee ballots are returned and accepted and 70% of DEM absentee ballots are returned and accepted. Based on those assumptions, I'm predicting REP lead in returned and accepted absentee ballots by 128,338. Prediction will be updated daily.
Also, according to an article I read about OHIO: “By race, voter modeling by Catalist for the AP found the share of Ohio ballot requests by white voters was up, to 91 percent from 89 percent. The black share declined from 9 percent to 7 percent.”
In Florida African-Americans were 13% of the statewide vote in 2008 and 2012. In 2004, they were 11%. If the African-American vote total goes back to "historical norms" without Obama on the ballot, that would reduce Clinton's total in Florida by 160,000 votes. Obama won the state by 74,000 votes in 2012.
To: SpeedyInTexas
In the end; despite all the fireworks; it comes down to turnout.
Even if you’re not in love with Trump - I’m not - he is the one standing in the way of 4 to 8 years of Hillary Clinton.
That cannot happen.
Make sure you and all like-minded people you know show up and vote! Take a friend!
2 posted on
10/14/2016 5:51:00 AM PDT by
Reagan80
("In this current crisis, government is not the solution to our problems, government IS the problem")
To: SpeedyInTexas
Apologies if you’ve answered this previously, but what do you base your prediction on? Is it the percentage of returned ballots in 2012.
3 posted on
10/14/2016 5:52:20 AM PDT by
Heart of Georgia
(#neverhellary ... but then, I'm just an uneducated hayseed)
To: SpeedyInTexas
Thank you.
Wow, these statistics are important.
Lies, collusion and corruption may be totally ignored and not win the day.
4 posted on
10/14/2016 5:56:53 AM PDT by
YepYep
(Build the America you want at your house and keep looking up.)
To: SpeedyInTexas
They publish the results of absentee votes before election day? That’s odd.
6 posted on
10/14/2016 6:12:44 AM PDT by
Moltke
(Reasoning with a liberal is like watering a rock in the hope to grow a building)
To: SpeedyInTexas
If 10% in and 5985 lead, then average points toward 59,850 final spread.lower than the 79,000.
8 posted on
10/14/2016 6:15:53 AM PDT by
Raycpa
To: SpeedyInTexas
18 posted on
10/14/2016 7:28:15 AM PDT by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
To: SpeedyInTexas
Iffn’ you have a ping list, please put me on it!
20 posted on
10/14/2016 7:50:42 AM PDT by
bitt
(“The most insidious power that the media has, is the power to ignore.” - Chris Plante, WMAL)
To: LucyT; Whenifhow; Nachum; null and void
21 posted on
10/14/2016 7:51:44 AM PDT by
bitt
(“The most insidious power that the media has, is the power to ignore.” - Chris Plante, WMAL)
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