Attendance of his rallies vs hers.
Who runs the polls? The poll owners all want Hitlery.
Show me one which is different. Murdoch is a big Hitlery donor.
I don’t see why this is hard to believe. We once thought the networks were there to report the news; they are not.
Polls any different?
Yesterday, first day of “early voting” in OH, on the ground report of lines at Greene Co. voting location. This is 60/40 R (heavy Republican) and in general Republicans DO NOT “early vote.”
Lots of Trump signs in suburban and rural Minnesota, few Hillary signs anywhere.
Lots of Christians are saying they won’t for Trump though.
Who knows about inner city, that’s a different world.
On the other hand, Trump/Pence signs readily seen, Trump/Pence stickers seen, and almost everyone I meet is talking up Trump.
These are WHITE MEN you are citing, a distinct minority. Notice the media attacks now...aimed only at WHITE WOMEN, who singlehandedly gave us Obama, and will almost certainly give us Hillary, sad to say.
Hillary, Soros, Globullists, Media, etc. all say it’s so. Since all the professional liars are on one side, I’ll take the other.
I have had a hard time identifying my gut in this election. I guess this is where I stand. Heart says Trump, head/gut say Hillary. But again these are the only states that matter:
CO
NV
PA
FL
OH
NC
And maybe IA and NH.
I am comfortable that there will be no other surprises. I am equally comfortable that the winner, whoever it is, will likely not get more than 41-43% of the vote. And it sucks, frankly, that that will mean someone became President winning only 4 of every 10 votes. THIS is what we’ve been reduced to in a nation of 300M+ adults.
That’s all I’m comfortable predicting at this point.
Living in a ultra leftist part of my town, the local DNC HQ looks deserted. I’ve actually never seen anyone there, and I’ve gone by multiple times next door to my ATM.
2008, their HQ had people spilled out into the parking lot. Lots of students and black volunteers.
My co-worker told me his mom has voted Democrat her whole life (black female), and is voting “none of the above”.
I have only seen ONE Hitlery bumper sticker on the Merritt Parkway in lower Fairfield county CT.
Good friends, a police chief and his wife, both died in the wool New England Democrats voting for Trump.
Spoke to the former Chairman of the local Republican Town Committee yesterday. Very religious man. Doesn’t have many nice things to say about Trump. Voting for him anyway.
First, I just found out my nephew who is 38 is voting for the first time ever and he’s voting for Trump! He is not alone and these people have never voted so they cannot be polled or tracked!
Second, they are using the 2012 election turnout model for most of the polls. This year will not have the same turnout ratio as 2012, so I think the polls cannot be accurate even if they were all being 100% honest!
The reason why is that in the primary, people on the republican side came out in droves and the democrats stayed home! This indicates that this years actual turnout model will be more R and I’s voting and more democrats staying home. This dramatically affects who can win. I think Trump is ahead several percent in reality. They will damage him before the election but I don’t think he can lose at this point. I pray.
Find yourselves anyone, anyone, among your friends and family, even the most ardent democrats you know, and listen to them... talk to them about Hillary, ask them their opinions... do you see their eyes light up? Do you see them get excited? Not angry about Trump, but excited when they talk about her???
None, none in my circle of folks I know have any excitement at all for her... and these hard core lifetime democrats. They will show up and vote, but they aren’t excited in any way or form for it...
She’s toast.
One may end up sounding like Pauline Kael.
“Another factor introducing possible bias in polls, according to our expert, is the types of questions asked and they way they are asked. For example, respondents in the WSJ-NBC News poll were queried about Trump’s “vulgar” comments. But it appears they were not asked about any negative Clinton developments, such as Wikileaks emails showing that, in paid speeches, she privately told Wall Street types that she has a “private” position on issues and a different “public position,” and used the phrase “open borders.”
https://sharylattkisson.com/clinton-widens-lead-in-democrat-heavy-nbc-wsj-poll/
My evidence: My church is 15,000 strong and most don’t get involved in politics ever...very apolitical. This year so many have been so vocal in support of Trump and that is a very very unusual thing.
One of my sisters went to the Trump rally in Panama City.
She has never been politically active before................
What’s your theory on why the polls overestimated Romney’s vote in 2012? If there was real poll bias, they would have been just as motivated to help Obama in 2012. More motivated because Obama is more loved by liberals. Conservatives screamed about oversampling dems for months in 2012, and got egg on their face. I wouldn’t trust any single poll, but if you look at the RCP average, it is going to be pretty close to accurate, and it looks pretty bad right now.
Here in Pennsylvania there has been a large shift to Republican voter registration. There are 250,000 new Republican voters in Pennsylvania. This story was on KDKA tv web site this week.
HARRISBURG (KDKA) – Nearly 100,000 Pennsylvania Democrats have switched to Republican since the beginning of the year.
What’s more: The Pennsylvania Republican party says more than 240-thousand new voters have joined the party since last November.
The state Republican party says that the surge in Republican registrations is nearly twice the number of newly registered Republicans compared to both the 2008 and 2012 numbers combined.
The party says the new numbers come from the Pennsylvania Department of State which shows that 97,607 Democrats have actually switched to Republican.
Numbers also show that 38,020 Republicans actually switched to Democrats.
“Enthusiasm is clearly on the side of the Republican Party of Pennsylvania this year,” Republican Party of Pennsylvania Chairman Rob Gleason said. “Republicans are making historic gains in voter registration in the Keystone State. As the last-minute registrations are processed, we’re confident we will see our Party grow even larger.
Since the November 2015 election, 243,139 new voters have joined the Pennsylvania Republican party.
In NH, there are many, many more Trump and Republican signs than Hillary signs. Many Democratic signs for local and national offices, but very few Hillary signs. But, then again, I saw very few Obama signs vs. many Romney signs in 2012, and we know what happened then.
I teach in MA and my colleagues are in the tank for Hillary. Duh. My FB pages reverberate with shocked females against Trump. However, their frantic nature suggests that they are scared to death that Trump will win.
I cannot get a read on my students at all....I sense total apathy in regards to the election. I only mention politics tangentially, since my subject is in the Humanities. But it is odd that I get so little reaction whenever I do mention politics.
Hillary stickers all over Richmond, VA.
I live and work in the most "progressive" areas of Colorado. This Bernie painting is in downtown Denver. Yet I see almost zero Hillary "virtue signaling" from signs, conversations, or whatever. There have been a couple of anti-Trump comments, but that doesn't necessarily translate to pro-Hillary.