Posted on 10/03/2016 9:14:34 AM PDT by georgiarat
The Peoples Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll began on July 3, 2016 and will run until the presidential election in November, with updates posted by 12:00 noon EST. More details about the pollincluding the questionnaireunder Methodology below the polling table.
Due to the number of requests, we are adding more dataincluding demographic vote shares and the number of repeat respondents (when applicable) per sampleto the tables. The PPD Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll follows level 1 AAPOR standards of disclosure and WAPOR/ESOMAR code of conduct.
(Excerpt) Read more at peoplespunditdaily.com ...
Trump 42.1 Clinton 41.9
Yesterday Trump 41.5 Clinton 42.1
Saturday Trump 40.9 Clinton 43.1
I don’t understand why TRUMP isn’t 50 points ahead!
There are not many polls that have repeat respondents and link on their page that invites readers to be an actual poll participant!
This is great for Trump!
TRump has rebounded in all three Tracking polls, USC/Latimes, PPD, and UPI. Have not seen Reuters today.
Reuters is pro-Hillary.
FR concern trolls are the bane of our existence.
Three out of four? I’ll take it!
Trump trend !!!! All of the tracking polls now have Trump ahead. This is directly in conflict with all of the traditional polls, like rasmussen, morning consult, etc. furthermore, we’re talking 5-10 point disparities between these polls. I’m glad we have the tracking polls going for us, but it’s a little disconcerting. What if the tracking polls are wrong like the poll massaging that was done in 2012? I sure hope not.
This article and study seem to support the tracking poll methodology -
http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/swing_voters.pdf
https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/news/elections/2016/10/02/defense-la-times-poll/
We can only pray and make sure to get everyone you know to vote for Trump.
Awesome news. The trend appears to be our friend again.
Tracking polls tend to be more accurate because they show a stable electorate showing small changes in opinion over time.
Traditional polls tend to be less accurate because they show a volatile electorate showing large swings in opinion over time.
Who is right? I’m betting the actual result will be in somewhere in between but closer to what the tracking polls are showing us.
Of course the only way to know for sure which side is correct to wait until people actually do vote and its counted. Election Day will tell us what polling method best matches the final election result.
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