[CatOwner]

Trump had 233 EV on 538 this morning. Just three states like OH, NC, and FL would put him over 270.

Hmmm, I don't see Trump having 233 without at least one of those states. You sure you're not double counting at least one of them?

[dynoman]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Pretty good except for including wacko two week old polls in the rolling average.

[dynoman]

He's at 235 now... If he's at 235 with Nate he's DEFINITELY at 235. Nate was amazingly wrong about Trump in the primary.

[IrishBrigade]

Hmmm, I don’t see Trump having 233 without at least one of those states.

in the polls plus method, , the most favorable to Trump, Silver has him currently at 259, with inclusion of FL (29) OH (18) and IA (6) added to Romney 206...he needs 10 EV’s to deny Hilary Clinton; best bet is NV (6), and NH (4)...problematic but of course possible...