Posted on 08/30/2016 5:22:19 AM PDT by SJackson
Like it or not, the day is fast approaching when the Palestinian Authority we have known for the past 22 years will cease to exist.
PA leader Mahmoud Abbas’s US-trained Palestinian security forces have lost control over the Palestinians cities in Judea and Samaria. His EU- and US-funded bureaucracies are about to lose control over the local governments to Hamas. And his Fatah militias have turned against him.
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Palestinian affairs experts Pinchas Inbari of the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs and Khaled Abu Toameh of the Gatestone Institute have in recent weeks reported in detail about the insurrection of Fatah militias and tribal leaders against Abbas’s PA.
In Nablus, Fatah terrorist cells are in open rebellion against PA security forces. Since August 18, Fatah cells have repeatedly engaged PA forces in lethal exchanges, and according to Inbari, the town is now in a state of “total anarchy.”
In Hebron, tribal leaders, more or less dormant for the past 20 years, are regenerating a tribal alliance as a means of bypassing the PA, which no longer represents them. Their first major action to date was to send a delegation of tribal leaders to meet with King Abdullah of Jordan.
Even in Ramallah, the seat of Abbas’s power, the PA is losing ground to EU-funded NGOs that seek to limit the PA’s economic control over the groups and their operations.
All of this fighting and maneuvering is taking place against the backdrop of the encroaching PA municipal elections, scheduled for October 8.
Hamas is widely expected to win control over most of the local governments in Judea and Samaria. Hamas’s coming takeover of the municipalities is likely playing a role in decisions by Fatah terrorist cells to reject the authority of the PA. Many of those cells can be expected to transfer their allegiance to Hamas once the terrorist group wins the elections.
Given his Fatah party’s looming electoral defeat, more and more PA functionaries are wondering why Abbas doesn’t use the growing anarchy in Palestinian cities as a reason to cancel them. Abbas seems to have calculated that Israel will step in and, as it has repeatedly done over the past 20 years, cancel the elections for him.
Media organs Abbas controls are full of conspiracy theories whose bottom line is that Israel is not canceling the elections Abbas declared because it is in cahoots with Hamas and other “collaborators” to undermine the PA.
Although Israel, of course, is in cahoots with no one, it is the case that the government has apparently finally lost its patience with Abbas and is looking past him.
Repeated angry denunciations by government leaders of Abbas for his lead role in inciting violence against Israelis, leading the international movement to delegitimize Israel, refusing to negotiate anything with its leaders, and radicalizing Palestinian society, are finally being translated into policy.
Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman’s recent announcement that Israel is adopting a carrot-andstick approach not toward the PA but toward the Palestinians themselves, and will advance development projects in areas where terrorism levels are low and take a hard line against areas where terrorist cells are most active, has sent shock waves through Abbas’s palaces.
For 22 years, Israel has bowed to Palestinian and Western demands and agreed to speak only to PA functionaries and Palestinian civilians authorized by the PA to speak to Israelis. Liberman’s decision to base Israel’s actions on the ground on the behavior of the Palestinians themselves rather than act in accordance with PA directives, along with his decision to speak directly to Palestinian businessmen and others, marks the end of Israel’s acceptance of this practice.
Without a doubt, Israel’s willingness to let Abbas fall is in part a function of the wider Arab world’s increased indifference to, if not disgust with the Palestinians. As MEMRI has documented, the Arab media is registering growing impatience with PA spokespeople. Arab commentators have harshly criticized PA functionaries who continue to insist their conflict with Israel is the most pressing issue on the pan-Arab agenda.
The disintegration of Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Libya and the rise of Iran as a mortal threat, along with Israel’s growing importance as an ally to Sunni Arab regimes have made the Palestinian cause look downright offensive to large swaths of the Arab world.
Part of Israel’s willingness to let Abbas fall also owes to its inevitability. Once Hamas wins the elections and takes control over the local governments, Abbas’s already weakened position will become unsustainable. As is already happening in towns and villages throughout the areas, Fatah cells will transfer their allegiance to Hamas. The areas will become Balkanized and radicalized still further.
Confrontation between Israel and the Hamas-controlled Palestinians in Judea and Samaria is inevitable.
Moreover, this process will likely be rapid. Just as Hamas’s complete takeover of Gaza from Fatah forces happened seemingly overnight in June 2007, so its seizure of control over Judea and Samaria will happen in the blink of an eye.
Many Westerners, Israeli leftists and PA functionaries hope that some deus ex machina will fall from the sky at the last minute and cancel the elections.
But even if that happens, the underlying reality in which Abbas is rapidly losing all semblance of control over events in Judea and Samaria will not be reversed. Abbas has incited the Palestinians to the point where they reject not only Israel, but Abbas and the PA.
Last week, the left-leaning Israeli Democracy Institute released the results of its joint survey with the Palestinian Center for Policy Survey Research regarding levels of support for a two-state solution.
For a generation, we have been told by world leaders that “everyone who is anyone” knows that the only way to reconcile the Palestinians and Israelis is to establish an independent Palestinian state in Judea, Samaria and parts of Jerusalem, as well as Gaza, roughly along the 1949 armistice lines, with land swaps between the sides involving continued Israeli control over a small percentage of the land in exchange for Palestinian control over lands Israel has controlled since its establishment.
The same formula that “everyone who is anyone” agrees on assumes that the Palestinian state will be demilitarized and that Israel will accept around a hundred thousand Palestinians who were displaced in 1949 as citizens in a token acceptance of the Palestinian demand for a so-called “right of return” of the descendants of Arabs who left Israel in 1948-9.
The poll showed that this plan is a nonstarter for the majority of Palestinians and Israelis. Only 46 percent of Israelis accept the formula and a mere 39% of Palestinians do.
The PA itself rejected the two-state formula at Camp David 16 years ago.
The fictional peace process based on the failed policy model has been maintained ever since for two reasons. First, successive Israeli governments have been intimidated by successive US administrations into maintaining faith with it despite its obvious failure.
Second, Abbas has built, secured and maintained his corrupt dictatorship over Palestinian society on the West’s obsession with the two-state formula.
This practice has allowed him to serve into the 11th year of his five-year term of office. It has allowed Abbas, his sons and his cronies to build fortunes on the backs of the Palestinians they are supposedly serving.
Now that Abbas’s reign is ending, the West is losing their man in Ramallah. Abbas’s Hamas successors will not be beholden to Western donors, although to their discredit, the Europeans in all likelihood will shower them with cash and side with them against Israel.
16 years after the failed Camp David summit, the fiction of the two-state solution is about to be shattered once and for all. The only relevant question today, is what does Israel intend to do next? August 30, 2016
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Hopefully he has a few billion tucked away in his Swiss bank account to soften the blow
Abbas better have his life insurance paid up and any over due library books back. Don’t think he will see Christmas.
“Confrontation between Israel and the Hamas-controlled Palestinians in Judea and Samaria is inevitable.”
Let the ‘Palestinians’ kill each other instead of Jews. The smart ones who want true peace within Israel will survive.
——Their first major action to date was to send a delegation of tribal leaders to meet with King Abdullah of Jordan.——
The wise old men know that a return to Jordan is a rational step if the radicals can be controlled. But what about Gaza? Gaza must be eradicated down to the sand.
It has allowed Abbas, his sons and his cronies to build fortunes on the backs of the Palestinians they are supposedly serving.
Off into the sunset with the dough.
Two state solution = fiction.
What will Israel do? Hopefully what is right for them.
Wasn’t it always about the money? Now the various tribes can fight over the cash the world sends them. Or, will Hamas grab it all?
Too bad the cash flow doesn’t come to an instant halt.
the town is now in a state of “total anarchy”
So business as usual right?
It was a bottomless pit nightmare and was ONLY propped up because the US decided to term this PLO state, a “MODERATE” Paleostinian Authority even though the PA itself carried out hundreds of attacks against innocent Jewish men, women and children!
We were told that Arafart was a “moderate” and HAMAS was an extremist organization.
When Arafart’s Gaza sent missiles into Israeli cities, we were told that he needed more weapons and training in order to reign in the "terrorists".
Then we were told that Abbas is a “moderate” while HAMAS and ISIS are extremists.
When the HAMAS overthrew the PLO in the Gaza strip, they sent missiles into Israeli cities, we were told it was not the “moderate” HAMAS but rather the more extremists Jihadi groups like the Al-Nusra Front.
Still, in the face of ongoing terror and incitement to murder Jews, the West propped up Abbas (1993-2016) and continued to fund his terror machine.
Folks, the LIE has gone on for too many years. Abbas’ PLO FATAH movement NEVER intended on making peace with Israel. They are comfortable being perpetual cry babies to the UN, the US and Europe.
Now they try to explain to us that the “moderate” PLO is in danger of caving in to the HAMAS bastards. OK, so what do we do now? Send MORE money and MORE arms to the PLO, “Moderate” murderers out of a fear that the less “Moderate” HAMAS movement will topple the PLO?
Jimmy Carter helped monitor the "free and Democratic" elections held in Gaza in 2007. Who won? HAMAS. Who did they murder outright? their brothers in the PLO.
Who might win in the West Bank? You got it, HAMAS and that is only the beginning. These Palestinian scum have watched Obama’s US isolate and criticize Israel. After 8 years of Obama’s treachery against Israel, these Arabs now feel that the time is right to make major moves.
This is what Russia, China, Iran and North Korea have all done - make moves while President Obama picks his nose. Little do they know that Israel, post-Obama is now unhinged and ready...
But do the Jordanians want the “Palestinians?”
The Arabs need to get out. The remnants of the 1,400 year Muslim invasion of the Holy Land must end, or there can never be peace. Spain expelled them all after 770 years. Why can’t Israel?
Another example of the miracle that is America.
-——But do the Jordanians want the “Palestinians?”——
Well, that is the issue.
In theory, Palestinians less Gaza are Jordanians. When viewed at the tribal level I can’t say which tribes live where and if the current boundaries separate old tribal boundaries.
What I noted was that “tribal leaders” were said to be approaching or conferring with King Abdulla. I take that as a sign of old heads seeking to return to a status quo ante ‘67 and end all the fictitious crap of a Palestinian state.
It would seem that is level headed tribal leaders in Jordan and in the West Bank were to agree to a reconciliation, the King might go along.
The important fact in my mind is that they are seeing a homegrown solution absent the EU or USA meddling
pigastinian-Israeli relations....
It’ll never happen.
Destroy islam
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