On the RCP average, Trump has moved from 7.8 down to 6.0 down.
If that pattern were to continue.....he’d overtake her easily.
I also think they have dropped Rasmussen from the average? And Rasmussen usually has Trump down just 3 or 4 I think.....
I have to point out that since 1996 is not exactly an extensive record.
‘96, ‘00, 04, ‘08, ‘12 is only five. That it is consecutive is a good indicator, but hardly conclusive.
Skepticism is warranted.
would love to know more about the model, of course
Just saw a propagandist on newsmax saying Trump had a one in 10 chance of winning. Total liar.