California
Hawaii
Oregon
Washington State
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Vermont
Minnesota
Virginia
Maryland
This election will be all about turn out
I predict depressed Democratic Turnout in:
New York
New Jersey
Michigan
Connecticut
Arizona
New Mexico
Florida
Ohio
Moderate Dems and the Bernie Folk are not going to show up for Clinton
The media is not covering this fact
Because it is true and they don’t want to show extreme weakness on Hillary’s part
Swap out Virginia for Illinois and I won’t disagree.
I’m concerned that you have California and Virginia in the “lost” column, in light of a comment on another thread that said Soros claimed Clinton will lose the popular vote but win the electoral vote.
Think of the states richest in EVs. Trump can’t afford to lose any of them.
Thanks, I agree with your 10 but I’m not sure that some others may not slip into the
Hillary fold. For sure it is going to be an interesting 84 days upcoming.
I think Trump will carry Massachusetts. The state has a history of going GOP in certain elections under unusual circumstances. The same confluence of events that improbably sent Scott Brown to the Senate, however briefly, after Kennedy’s death, could well swing the state into Trump’s column.
We shall see.
How do you come up with 67% for Trump?
Don’t count out Minnesota, Virginia, or Oregon. Depressed turnout those places also.
Yes, turnout. Hammond mentioned Cuccinelli. Cuccinelli lost by about 40,000. 4 years earlier McDonell got 80,000 more votes than Cuccinelli. The D vote was about the same.
Cuccinelli lost because he did not have a good GOTV. There is no way it can be blamed on anything else.
The Trump campaign should learn from others mistakes. Trump has the enthusiasm Clinton lacks. But Clinton as dedicated soldiers motivated by their government check. Trump needs to translate his rah-rah spectators into players in the game. That is how he wins.
how many of these states, in addition to California, have been seeded in the last 6 years with ‘resettled immigrants’ ?
I think that hillary is vulnerable in nearly every state she lost the primary. That includes Michigan.
I think that Trump/Pence should hit the following states on a weekly basis:
Wisconsin and Michigan
Ohio and Pennsylvania
New Jersey and New York
North Carolina and Virginia
Iowa and Missouri
Colorado and Nevada
This election is just under 90 days away; long time. It will be about turnout. Hitting these states would not only show confidence but also scare the libs and MSM indicating that Trump/Pence have internals that are promising.
Lastly, look what happened in the governor’s races in Mass and Maryland in 2014. The dem was comfortably ahead in the polls a month out....only to lose. These are dem strongholds and that should have never happened.
It is about turnout. Hillary has no turnout in here rallies. This will eventually translate to votes.
I don’t think Trump has a chance to win WI or IL, I hate to say.
I’d love for him to win IL (my state) but the D’s could run some sort of politician with health problems and a 30 year history of criminal behavior and still win...
Remember, our dead get 3 votes here.
Enthusiasm is what matters. When Hillary rents an arena for 2,500 people, and only 500 show up...it says something about enthusiasm for her campaign. Starting in last summer, you saw this as a continual trend. It’s rare that she ever gets more than half-capacity for a speech. Trump gets a full arena every time.
On this basis....I think the election is mostly over and she’ll be lucky to carve out 40-percent.