I think that Kirk, Johnson and probably Ayotte are lost causes.
Indiana is a solid red state and Pence is on the ticket. Even with Bayh back in the race I just don't see Indiana sending two Democrats to the Senate.
If Clinton takes Pennsylvania big then I think that Toomey loses. If Clinton takes Pennsylvania in a close race or if Trump takes Pennsylvania then I think Toomey wins.
I don't think that Clinton takes North Carolina so I think Burr wins.
Rubio is going to be bombarded with all his quotes about how he hates being a senator, but regardless of who wins the Democrat primary Rubio is going to face a weak opponent. He probably is re-elected so he has six more years where he doesn't have to show up for work.
I think Blunt and Portman win regardless of who takes the White House.
Fingers crossed that McCain gets primaried out of office and we don't have to wonder about November.
Nevada I'm hoping for the best. It'd be great to see Reid have to turn his seat over to a Republican.
KIRK will lose his election because of his unwavering support of PLANNED PARENTHOOD. Bye.
Reid would be turning his seat over to a Cheap Labor Express stooge, so it’s really not a win for the citizens.
You are wrong to put Ayotte in the same class of vulnerability as Kirk and Johnson.
Right now I say those 2 probably lose (Feingold? YUCK), NV will will close but Heck has an edge (he’s a RINO sure but suck it up, Trump wants a Republican Senate).
Several others we COULD lose. Rubio won’t lose. I’ve seen Burr trail in a poll to his 2nd tier opponent but I don’t buy it, if he loses or if Trump loses NC turn off the TV. McCain ain’t gonna lose (if he gets through the primary). Blunt ain’t gonna lose. Portman probably not, but he could.
Toomey and Ayotte, about 50/50.
Worried about Indiana right now. GD Evan Stinkwood Bayh. If Indiana screws us again!!!
If you wanna write off IL and WI (I wouldn’t entirely, especially WI but pencil in rat wins) that puts us at 52.
Big races PA, NH, OH, IN and pickup opportunity NV. Need 3 of 5 to hold 51.
My opinion is similar but not identical to others here. We’re in a very unusual election which may realign traditional voting patterns, and there could more ticket-splitting than normal.
I think that Mark Kirk of Illinois and Ron Johnson of Wisconsin are underdogs, but not necessarily lost causes. Kirk’s posturing may pay off in the hoity-toity Chicago suburbs. I definitely don’t want Congresswoman Tammy Durkworth in the Senate. She could become a candidate for national office. That makes her dangerous, while Kirk is merely annoying.
Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire has a knack of beating the odds and over-performing at the polls. Her opponent, Governor Maggie Hassan, has never faced a really tough opponent.
Patrick Toomey will win unless Trump loses Pennsylvania by a large margin. Toomey’s opponent is less-than-impressive.
Rob Portman is getting unexpected help fro the MSM, partly for being a good father if not a good Senator. Ex-Governor Ted Strickland is being called for his vulgar remark about Antonin Scalia’s death. Imagine that coming from a former Christian pastor.
I think Rubio will win because whichever Democrat he faces will emerge from a bitter primary damaged.
Richard Burr of North Carolina is to be watched. His record is less-than-impressive and he reminds me of Elizabeth Dole, overconfident and looking stronger than he actually is.
I think that Joe Heck will give Republicans a pickup in Nevada, though it’ll be close. His opponent has little appeal outside of Las Vegas. I look forward to seeing Nevada voters spit in Harry Reid’s eye electorally.
In CA, I fear that state AG Kamala Harris will be the next radical Senator, even worse than the retiring Barbara Boxer. I don’t care how beautiful Harris is, she’ll be a leftward anchor by herself.
There will likely be an upset or two out there, but it’s too early to say where.