Posted on 08/08/2016 10:03:19 AM PDT by xzins
Discussion of Long Room here:
Should we trust the Longroom Unbiased polls?
IIRC, the turnout data was developed using the same survey methods as the voter preference data. I’m trying to remember Rasmussen, who explained it 4 years ago. I’m thinking they argued that even those calls had to be weighted where others were saying that the only discernment had to be for “registered to vote by that time” and who they were supporting. I think they ignored past voting history. They appear to have been right.
My memory is unclear on it.
Nope. It isn’t. These people were around then and were the most accurate in their predictions.
All they’re saying is that they are NOW using the methodology that is correct while other polling firms all go to that same methodology by the time the election actually rolls around.
Tell that to Al Gore.
They didn’t accurately forecast the last election, they backtested their method on previous elections and declared themselves accurate within .03%. They may claim they have been doing this for 30 years, yet I find no evidence of that. Their website wasn’t even active in 2008.
A remarkable writeup about polling.
Thank you. Great resource.
I remember it as an idiosyncratic, quirky, and extremely powerful interpreted programming language.
I am on my mobile right now. Need to get to the PC with excel. I think these folks have tapped into something interesting, in that consistent bias is better in that the pollsters are true believers. Inconsistent bias is indicative of DNC generated agendas. Any secondary analysis should take that into account
The polls....they are so rigged.
FNC just announced Hillary has opened a 12 point lead on Trump nationwide and a 4-5 point lead in Florida.
Thanks for posting that info. Answers my questions about this poll.
Sabato said Mrs. Bill will take OH, PA, FL, VA, and NC, five keys to victory. Also IA
Hence my question. Are the pollsters saying she won't?
This proves that polls are all over the map
Ignore all media
Get Out The Vote
Well this can’t be true. The alphabet networks, including FNC, keep telling me that the Wicked Witch has a sizeable lead. [/sarc]
La Times/USC
August 8th
Clinton 45.0
Trump 43.8
http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/
Isn’t this the poll that was being posted as most fair
Organizations such as True The Vote have stepped up to the plate to fight voter fraud.
Stop repeating their nonsense! He doesn’t know!!
I just watched a tv special where he has an win in PA.
Your just trying to depress everyone.
Just heard rush and he does make a point we can’t discount all polls its foolish to do that! The media once again is electing our prez...:(
Yes. However, it gives no data. Being from the LA Times, they could change at a critical moment.
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