How many of those key states do not require ID for voting?
I think Trump is going to win Fl and NC.
To me the big dollars and ground game needs to focus on OH, VA, CO, NH, IA, PA. He can win without PA, but it seems to be the most likely of the bigger blue states. I still don’t buy that FL, VA and NC are going blue permanently or anything of the sort. Hillary isn’t going to get the epic black/youth vote Obama did.
Florida has voter ID...BUT... we have had a big influx of Puerto Ricans and the financial disaster that is Puerto Rico shows how they vote.