No, Trump is not winning with women; he is significantly behind with women. He is winning with White men.
The judge is a completely toxic campaign issue, as is confronting gold or blue star parents. Focus on Clinton. That is the target. Focus on the mission.
No, he is winning with women because the pollsters, who are flunkies in statistics, haven’t bothered to stratify their sampling to pick up an accurate portion of Independent women who lean in a majority to Trump. Their sampling plans are ruined in any event by the 90% nonresponse, skewing responses to left leaning females.
In 2010, Independents comprised 24% of the electorate.
In 2014, Independents comprised 42% of the electorate.
There’s a very good reason why that flip occurred.
Independents of either gender break for Trump by large margins.
Pollsters today are using 2010 registration data and are missing Independents by more than 10%. Thus, they oversample democrats.
If you’re putting trust in ‘polls’, you’re revealing yourself in unflattering ways.
A better signal of where women stand with Trump is in surveying social media and noting the numbers that show up at Trump rallies.