[vette6387]

WEll, here’s the one from yesterday.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/trump-clinton-poll-los-angeles-times/2016/07/27/id/740785/

[vette6387]

You can also go here:

http://96.127.53.23/election/

[Red Badger]

They are in shock!......................

[Red Badger]

They must still be asleep in CA at this hour.............

[Red Badger]

http://www.latimes.com/politics/

[TexasFreeper2009]

Hillary's numbers have been stuck in the low 40’s the entire race.

The only variable is Trumps numbers and the undecided, many of which “say” they are supporting various 3rd party candidates, but are lying.

Hillary has a HARD ceiling of support in the low 40’s.

Trump has a HARD base of support in the low 40’s but no ceiling, only those too afraid to say they support him to a pollster or even possibly their friends. The Republican convention gave “some” of those undecided enough information to move verbally into Trumps camp. Thus Trumps surge into the high 40’s. BUT, it's important to note that there is still about 10% still unwilling to publicly support Trump at this point.

The KEY to this whole election is watching HILLARY’s numbers. As long as she stays stuck in the low 40’s Trump wins in a landslide. Because Trump WILL pick up nearly all of the undecided. Because NO ONE is undecided about Hillary.

[pb929]

This poll has an interesting survey method, different from most other polls I’ve seen which may explain why it’s showing a bigger Trump lead than the others. If I understand what I read on their survey methods page, I think they are asking people to estimate the likelihood they will vote for a particular candidate, rather than just a binary choice, and they used those responses in some formula, weighting for demographics, to calculate the final results.

The other interesting aspect is they appear to be polling the same group over and over so theoretically this poll should more accurately reflect changing opinions. It’s like a very large focus group. I think it bodes well for Trump that this poll shows a large convention bounce. It shows a lot of people’s minds were changed with a before and after snapshot of the same respondents.

[orchestra]

This poll has been discontinued until further notice.

signed, DNC

[irish guard]

Does anyone know the internals of the poll? How many Dems, Reps and Inds they use in their poll each time?

[Ken H]

They release the poll results just after midnight every day. The one dated July 27 is the most current.

[Red Badger]

This may be why they not displaying new results:

http://96.127.53.23/election/

Click on the TAB that says:

Characteristics of Candidate Support