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Hillary leads in final pre-convention polls from ABC, NBC, and CNN
HotAir.com ^ | 07/17/2016 | ALLAHPUNDIT

Posted on 07/17/2016 12:24:35 PM PDT by MaxistheBest

Given the news today about cops being shot in Baton Rouge, I don’t know if it’s worth writing up any new polls before, say, November 1st. America’s too volatile a place in 2016 to have any confidence about what the public’s mood will be next week, let alone three months from now.

For what it’s worth, though, here you go. CNN has the race 49/42, NBC/WSJ has it 46/41, and ABC/WaPo has it 47/43. Of the three, only the last one shows any movement towards Trump, which is interesting since their sample is D+10. (A month ago he trailed by 12.) The CNN poll actually has Hillary gaining two points since June despite the damage done to her by Emailgate. It may be more useful to think of these polls in the aggregate as a clue to the state of the race than by parsing the internal numbers: Scroll down through RCP’s poll history and you’ll find that Clinton’s current lead of four to seven points looks a lot like her polling in late June, before Comey’s announcement about the e-mail investigation on July 5th and the ambush of Dallas police a few days later (which may have also benefited the law-and-order candidate Trump). In other words, Hillary’s rough week may have just been a speed bump and now her numbers are returning to “normal.” Although as I say, in light of what’s going on right now, there really is no such thing as normal this year.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; election; poll; trump
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To: mrs9x

I think the ABC poll was D+6
The CNN poll was D+5

Both were roughly the same as the 2012 exit poll.

I wasn’t able to find the NBC internals as of a few hours ago.


81 posted on 07/17/2016 3:51:34 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: NYRepublican72

NBC was D+8.

2012 was D+4.5 roughly.


82 posted on 07/17/2016 3:57:41 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: MinuteGal

How about Flipper?


83 posted on 07/17/2016 3:59:32 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: MaxistheBest

If you can stomach it (I can’t!), watch the news on any of these channels. It is pro-Hillary, anti-Trump 24/7. So, conveniently, the polls line up perfectly with their left-leaning agenda.


84 posted on 07/17/2016 4:02:55 PM PDT by The Citizen Soldier ("It's always good to be underestimated." ~Donald Trump)
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To: The Citizen Soldier

Just as important are the numbers of independents in the poll, not just the D/R spread.


85 posted on 07/17/2016 4:47:08 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: MaxistheBest

“I’m not a conspiracy guy...but it kinda smells that after all the good Trump polls recently, both nationwide and state, that these 3 turn the narrative over.”

Don’t worry, those polls are as rigged as Washington. The important thing is to not place any credence in the mainstream media. They’re scared to death.


86 posted on 07/17/2016 5:10:24 PM PDT by PreciousLiberty (Trump '16! Make America Greater Than Ever!)
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To: EinNYC
"or we have an incredible amount of really REALLY stupid people in our country."

They elected Obama twice. Get a clue.

87 posted on 07/17/2016 9:33:52 PM PDT by MrChips (Ad sapientiam pertinet aeternarum rerum cognitio intellectualis - St. Augustine)
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To: MinuteGal
If it would benefit and prosper Marxism in America, ABC, NBC, WaPo and CNN would flood us with polls absolutely proving that the world is flat ... and on almost all of the cable news channels there would be good journalists shouting at us and our allies, 'Are you going to believe your lying eyes or us!
88 posted on 07/18/2016 9:31:03 AM PDT by Bob Ireland (The Democrat Party is a criminal enterprise)
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