Posted on 06/29/2016 3:25:15 PM PDT by NKP_Vet
Donald Trump has had a few rocky weeks on the campaign trail, and it shows in the latest Fox News Poll. Just over half of Republicans would rather have someone besides Trump as their nominee, and his support in the presidential ballot test has dropped seven points since May.
Democrat Hillary Clinton is up 44-38 percent over Trump in a head-to-head matchup. Earlier this month, Clinton had a three-point edge (42-39 percent). In May, Trump was up by three (45-42 percent). Clintons current lead is just inside the polls margin of sampling error. The national poll, released Wednesday, finds she has a similar advantage when voters are asked about confidence in the candidates to make the right decisions for the country if they were president: 48 percent are at least somewhat confident Clinton would. Its 42 percent for Trump
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Yes, thank you. The Bucs are pathetic and to blame it all on injuries is so lame. It would be like blaming Hillary’s failures as a candidate on her looks.
IF... IF you watch Fox news in the evening... bret baier for example.. and his panel.. they are still trashing Trump and his followers.. and so we are supposed to think this poll is honest? No way! I really can’t stand bret any more.. oh my, I used to like him.. he’s not who he pretended to be.. he’s a liberal politician, sealed in the fabrics of Washington and not gonna report for the people if it doesn’t agree with his politics.
I can name the ones who will stand up for Trump on Fox, on one hand. Eric, Kimberly, Hannity, perhaps Steve Doocy, and perhaps Greta and O’reilly.
That hillary could be anywhere on any level with anyone else, is beyond the pale. She is wicked.. she is damaged goods and she is a criminal.. oh yes.. and she is a liar.. plus hating this country and all the people in it.
Here in this poll about 4% to 5% Dems over polled vs. 2012 exit polls, and 15% way under polled Indies where Trump is usually ahead in polls against Hillary.
Thanks Timestax!
The gig Hellary did the other day with Pocahontas! It was like a sketch on Saturday Night Live. Split my sides laughing.
Hope her Heinyness picks Poca for her running mate!
The OD on Hillary is just around the corner
Fox News does not conduct the polling. They hire polling firms and have the rights to publish the findings:
“Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (Democrats) and Shaw & Company Research (Republicans). June 26-28, 2016. N=1,017 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.”
“I can name the ones who will stand up for Trump on Fox, on one hand. Eric, Kimberly, Hannity, perhaps Steve Doocy, and perhaps Greta and Oreilly.”
Dobbs, the one you can count on to never to badmouth him. He knows the nation is finished if Hillary Clinton lands in the White House. He will tell anyone Trump is his candidate. He’s supported him since day one. Judge Jenine is also a reliable supporter.
And 42% polled described themselves as Democrats. 39% Republicans (3% right there more Democrats) and 15% Independents and 4 unsure/not willing to reply.
When a poll polls more Republicans and Hillary is in the lead of that, that is when it would be panic time for Trump, etc.
So, 3 points more Democrats polled subtracted from the ‘6 point lead’ for Hillary and that would put the result right in the ‘margin of error’ dead heat.
Hillary should be in the lead when more Democrats are polled. If she wasn’t, they would be in panic mode themselves.
Registered = +2 D, MOE +3, so another tie.
When they finally get down to doing real polling, they’re gonna be shocked. Every single poll will start off tied, and move Trump’s direction from there.
Actually, +3 D is not bad, and pretty favorable to Trump. But the real numbers are about 36-30-28 or so.
So this poll 1) greatly under polls Is, where Trump leads big, 2) is registered not likely, so that’s about a +2 for the D, and has a decent 3 point MOE. Probably a Cankles lead of 2 points.
2012 Election exit polls showed 38% of voters were Democrats, 32% were Republicans and 29% were Independents. Romney got 7% of the Democrat vote and Obama got 6% of the Republican vote. Independents split 55-45 for Romney.
The latest Gallup Poll on party affiliation showed 46% Democrats or leaning Democrat and 40% Republicans or leaning Republican.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/190421/democrats-increasing-edge-party-affiliation.aspx
realclearpolitics.com provides an average of all the latest polls.
The current average is Clinton: 45%/Trump: 39% arrived at by averaging:
Fox News Clinton 44/Trump 38
Quinnipiac Clinton 42/ Trump 40
ABC-Washington Post Clinton 51/Trump 39
NBC-Wall Street Journal Clinton 46/Trump 41
Rasmussen Reports Clinton 44/Trump 39
Reuters-Ipsos Clinton 44/Trump 34
Economist-You Gov Clinton 43/ Trump 39
CNN-ORC Clinton 47/Trump 42
It is much too early for polling data to really matter.
I guess we’ll find out on November 8, 2016 if “hard working, real American patriots....” outnumber the assholes you mentioned in your first paragraph!
I sure hope we do!
So do I.....
Two words regarding polls REMEMBER BREXIT!!!!
I agree. Look, there isn’t a national poll he is winning in right now. The general numbers from most polls is around 5-6 percent down. Ignoring the polls and pretending everything is good is not in our best interest because people did that in 2012. I seem to remember it in 2008 as well. Ignore the polls, they would say. Ignore them. The media lies. Well, the polls turned out to be right.
It is June, and there are things that I feel Trump needs to do better. For example, why wasn’t he hitting on the Benghazi report? I know he did a big job’s speech, but he did two rallies after the Benghazi report came out and didn’t hit on it. It reminds me of when the IG report came out on Hillary’s emails. That wasn’t hit on immediately like it should have been. Also, the book came out from the Secret Service officer decimating the Clintons. It’s already at the top of the best seller list. He needs to hit on this stuff more.
I heard him at his rally talk about how he won the primaries without a bunch of ads referring in part to media attention. He talked about how his competitors spent so much on ads, but he won. That’s true. He wondered about needing ads in the general. He will need ads and need a lot. Sure, he got a lot of media attention in the primary, and he’s getting a lot now. However, it’s almost all negative. The media is in the tank for Hillary. Ads are going to be his way to bypass the media and speak directly to the American voter about why Hillary is corrupt and why he is a better candidate.
We, as in his base, see through the media spin on Trump. However, outside of the base, there are many voters who will follow the media spin; that’s why the polls are like they are. Imagine if the media spent time hitting Clinton like they did Trump.
He has started to raise money, but yes, he started late. I posted here two articles about flaws with Trump’s campaign. It was the next day that Corey Lewandowski was fired, so obviously the campaign was seeing issues as well. The articles listed some missed opportunities that Trump had to take it to Hillary, but instead there was focus on the judge. Also, Trump was clear during the primary season that he was not sure if he would self fund the general. He obviously made that decision and should have immediately commenced fundraising...even by small donations. He should have been building a ground game and hiring in swing states. He has started to now that Corey was fired, but that was at the expense of weeks. I also think he should have used the time to make multiple appearances to swing states that Hillary couldn’t do because she was tied up with Bernie in the primary process.
I still believe he can beat Hillary. He just needs a good ground game, and he needs to stay on message continually taking it to Hillary and explaining why his ideas are better. The media is going to attempt to destroy him, so he needs ads. Even if he has to spend his own money, he needs to get those ads out there to bypass the media. I also believe two other things are key - a good convention and good debates. Those are three key areas that will help him win.
suitcase need to be depicted filled with state secrets and Arkansas grifter stickers.
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