Trump has a better chance in Maine than NH IMO.
Some weird state polling, Trump has some anemic plurality leads in GOP states, but same thing for Shillery in Maine? Having both major party nominees be despised could produce some anomalous results.
But the last time Maine gave a higher percentage to the Republican POTUS nominee than NH was in 1960. I doubt very much that changes this time, NH is just more Republican than Maine nowadays, by a good consistent margin.
Ralph Nader took almost 6% from Al Gore, allowing Bush to be come in a little more than 5% behind (but got a only a paltry 44%). Vote splitting on the left allowed Paul LePage to win in 2010.
We’ll have Jill Stein to thank if Trump gets any EVs from Maine, (1 of 4 or 3 of 4, I can’t imagine 4 of 4). Unfortunately we’ve also got Gary Johnson, whom I have to think will take more from Trump.