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To: doug from upland

Great article. Very damning.

Why the polls have Hillary up big is beyond me. Do people just not know what she’s done? Or do they not believe it? Or do they not care?


8 posted on 06/16/2016 2:42:56 PM PDT by Angels27
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To: Angels27

I think a lot of it has to do with the way the media is demonizing Trump. I don’t think I’ve ever seen such an onslaught against a political candidate. They’ll have you believe this is the reincarnation of Adolph Hitler, replete with genocide, etc. Really.

(See the NYTimes editorial page, for example, accompanied by inflammatory headlines and editorialized articles in the main news sections. They actually said genocide. The NY Daily News is no different.)


9 posted on 06/16/2016 3:09:22 PM PDT by RAldrich
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To: Angels27

Quote:

” Do people just not know what she’s done? Or do they not believe it? Or do they not care?”

All three. As Howard Stern said, this is a nation of sheep. Very stupid sheep.


10 posted on 06/16/2016 3:25:48 PM PDT by TTFlyer
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To: Angels27

polls mean nothing. They are just an excuse to Bray more propaganda. I pray that the important poll taken in November stays true and isn’t just a bunch of made up numbers.


11 posted on 06/16/2016 3:29:52 PM PDT by themidnightskulker (And then the thread dies... peacefully, in it's sleep....)
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To: Angels27; RAldrich

There are some threads about the polling. The short of it is that the polls are over-representing Democrats. Historically people almost always vote for the candidate of the party they voted for in the last election. In the last election, Obama beat Romney by about 4% nationwide. So a fair poll would try to reach likely voters and balance them so that only about 4% more Obama voters would included than Romney voters. However, the polls so far seem to be running 10%-12% sampling people who voted for Obama in the last election. By this measure they are over-representing people likely to vote for Hillary. If you balance them to align with the 4% built-in advantage, Trump is either much closer or even ahead. It gets even more interesting when you break it down state by state because of the electoral college. In states that were closer than 4% or in states that went for Romney, Trump may have a large edge including places like PA and NJ.

Of course Hillary supporters in the media will want to push polls that they think benefit them. Look for polls that show their internals and show likely voter representation balanced. Plus there is another factor which is that if you did not vote in the last election you are not a likely voter so you won’t get counted in these polls. The open question is whether Trump will inspire people to get out and vote when they hadn’t been inspired before. The rhetoric is getting hot and it might be an historic election in many ways. It is a very crucial election for the future of the country.


13 posted on 06/16/2016 5:51:01 PM PDT by monkeyshine
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