General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ( Trump closes 10 point gap)

Real Clear Politics ^ | 5/19/2016 | Staff

[GilGil]

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

[GilGil]

In one month Trump has closed a 10 point gap. In April Hillary was at 50 pts and Trump was at 40 pts support.Trump is now up .2pts ahead of Hillary. What the hell happened?

If you go back farther than April at one time Hillary was up 18 pts on 3/22 in a Bloomberg poll.

Who said calling her "crooked Hillary" does not work? No wonder the dems are falling apart. Hillary can't close the deal. Wasserman-Schultz just back stabs Bernie supporters. Bernie is in riot mode and endorses Wasserman-Schultz' opponent and the expectation is that the dem convention is going to be like the 1968 convention riots. Rendell says Hillary women are ugly and all the while her poll numbers have dropped nearly 20 pts and Trump the happy warrior is crushing everything in his path.

Do you suppose this is why Gingrich on Maria Bartiromo's show flat out said Trump will win the presidency. No hesitation on his part.

All the punditry is 100% wrong about Trump.Wow! Double wow!!!

[scottinoc]

Clearly under-sampling ugly women:)

[School of Rational Thought]

a month ago there were three candidates under GOP

[GilGil]

a month ago there were three candidates under GOP
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Whatever it is something is trending big in Trump’s direction.

[Rennes Templar]

And whatever it is he’s taking a breather today. Wasn’t on the Sunday morning shows for the first time in months.

[GilGil]

He was on Fox and Friends this morning.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPNnH2MQcRs

[GilGil]

Here is the Gingrich interview. Awesome.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/05/22/newt_gingrich_in_coming_months_trump_will_consolodate_support_while_clinton_continues_to_stagnate.html

[Walkingfeather]

So Hillary is really considered the incumbent. If an incumbent is below 50% in the polls, they generally will lose. It is also important to note that Hillarys constituents are not energized. They are quite demoralized, the only news they look forward to is that she is not indicted.... Trumps supporters are energized and will show up to vote. Demoralized constituents generally find a reason to not vote. I think she will be crushed if she is the candidate. If Biden steps in, Trump will be.. “Oh great your bench strength is Creepy Joe Biden??? He is the kind of guy hanging out in the bathroom at Target That is your best hope? “

[GilGil]

I was going to suggest Biden as a Walmart greeter but I really do not want to insult Walmart greeters.

[SamAdams76]

Well the Joe Biden gambit likely won't happen. I believe that was the plan last year when Biden decided not to run. The Dem establishment figured that he could be slipped onto the ticket should Crooked Hillary get indicted or otherwise drop out of the race. Add Fauxahontas and you had the near perfect ticket: A sitting vice president and a biological female.

But Bernie Sanders threw a monkey wrench into things. He was supposed to have been dispatched weeks ago making Crooked Hillary the presumptive nominee. However, not only is he still hanging around but he has enough won delegates to make the case that he should be the nominee should Crooked Hillary be forced from the race.

It would be very difficult, if not impossible, for the Democrats to justify handing Biden the nomination when Bernie has nearly 2,000 delegates, millions of actual votes and a ton of states won, including most of the final contests.

Now this puts the Dems in quite a pickle. They don't want Bernie as nominee any more than the establishment GOP wanted Donald Trump. But they are likely to be stuck with him should the Wicked One get forced from the race.

[ronnietherocket3]

Trump will have a field day if they slip in anyone but Sanders at this point. Clinton can’t rig an election competently, anyone else will be easily accused of stealing the nomination from Sanders.

While Hillary has more actual votes than Sanders, the psychological effect of Hillary getting 500-700 superdelegates right from the beginning (between 20% and 33% of the needed votes) had a suppressing effect on Sanders’ support.

[HiTech RedNeck]

crooked and heartless, both accusations that stick.

next to hillary, donald trump bids fair to look like mother teresa, almost.

[GilGil]

crooked and heartless, both accusations that stick.
________________________

How many hundreds of thousands of people has Hillary gotten killed because she had absolutely no idea what she was doing?

[Albion Wilde]

Make America Great Again

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* * *

Selected Trump articles on FR, from 5:15 PM to 11:59 PM EDT, 5/22/16:
Newt Interview (video)
Obama Braces for Donald Trump Questions From World Leaders –NYT
"Hillary's America" Trailer [upcoming Dinesh D’Souza film] (video)
ABC posts another poll showing Trump leading Clinton among RVs –Jazz Shaw
Trump: "How can Crooked Hillary say she cares about women when silent on radical Islam" –Twitter
Michelle Fields joins The Huffington Post, to cover Trump –Politico
A Note About Our Coverage of Donald Trump’s ‘Campaign’ [July 17, 2015] –HuffPo
Top Republicans Rethinking #NeverTrump –Time
Trump says he’d sell a building to fund campaign –NYPost
Roger Ailes Reportedly “Snickering” over Failure of Megyn Kelly Special –Salon
Abolish the Department of Justice –Bruce Walker
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ( Trump closes 10 point gap) –RCP
Hillary Clinton Warns Against Treating Donald Trump as ‘Normal’ Candidate –NYT
41% of Hispanics Have Negative View of Hillary, Say Only ‘Desires’ White House for Herself –Townhall
Univision Promotes ‘Make America Mexico Again’ –NewsBusters

[Rembrandt]

“Trump will have a field day...”

Look at the trend lines and extend them to November. Hillary will probably drop out in July or so because “Bill’s health is in trouble.” She has far too big an ego, and it’s fragile, to risk the defeat that’s shaping up to deep 6 her.

Republicans and Trump just need to make sure that he wins by an amount which will exceed the Margin of Fraud.

[GilGil]

But Bernie Sanders threw a monkey wrench into things. He was supposed to have been dispatched weeks ago making Crooked Hillary the presumptive nominee. However, not only is he still hanging around but he has enough won delegates to make the case that he should be the nominee should Crooked Hillary be forced from the race.
_______________________________________

Do you realize that if you take Hillary’s superdelegates away, she is almost even with Bernie? When California rolls around he could pull ahead when Hillary does not have her superdelegates. This is a huge fraud and a big, big problem.

[SamAdams76]

Do you realize that if you take Hillary’s superdelegates away, she is almost even with Bernie?

Yes I do. And this under-reported fact has shaken the Crooked Hillary campaign to the very core. There are still 781 Democrat delegates left to be decided with the lion's share in California - where Bernie is very strong. Crooked Hillary will need 614 of those 781 in order to get to the 2,382 needed to secure the nomination.

She is going to almost certainly fall well short and will require the super delegates to put her over the top.

This is where it will get very interesting. The media continues to report that Crooked Hillary has about 90% of these (712 total) super delegates. But why? She certainly has not earned that percentage of super delegates with her anemic primary performance. And Bernie has all the momentum by winning 11 of the past 14 contests (and he likely lost Kentucky due to voter fraud).

If Bernie and Crooked Hillary go into the convention essentially even on won delegates and she ends up getting 600+ of the 712 super delegates, all hell will break lose. Especially if Bernie is coming off a strong California win.

This was supposed to be a "coronation" for Crooked Hillary but it is going to be a nightmare. If she prevails at the convention, it will be by virtue of Democrat parlor tricks (with super delegates) and there are going to be millions of angry Bernie supporters who will feel robbed.

If the super delegates were apportioned by primary results, Bernie may very well come out on top. Because Crooked Hillary's performance in the primaries has been awful.

Imagine the outcry if Trump and Cruz were essentially even on won delegates and the GOPe establishment rigged the process to ensure that Cruz was selected.