I have Trump at 1,240 to 1,256 delegates if trends continue.
1,300 is possible with a massive California blowout but dunno.
You guess is as good as any guess. I don’t mean that to be an insult either. It seems very difficult to predict these things.
I’ve seen good explanations for why Cruz would wind up with “X” delegates, only to see that not happen. So those of you who really study this and make ‘possibly’ more accurate predictions, I’m just not sure you’re right.
I prefer to think of all these delegate count totals, as merely ball park figures.
I note that none of them seem to have the exactly same figures, so that has caused me to not have absolute faith in any of them.
The reason why I suggested a higher number than others of you have, is because I think there is an issue of momentum.
As Trump crushes it, the resistance further down the line is likely to crumble.
If that assumption is flawed (and it very well could be), then your prediction will be more accurate.
We’ll just have to wait and see.
Thanks for the mention.
At least we’re in agreement that he does come in with 1237. The more above that the better, due to the status of delegates and the ability to pull tricks at the convention.
I’d feel a lot more comfortable going in with close to 1400, but that’s merely a personal desire.