Posted on 04/28/2016 8:53:33 AM PDT by COUNTrecount
For the last month or so, Donald Trumps path to 1,237 delegates has been clear: Win Indiana and California.
But after his strong showings in the Northeast, Indiana no longer seems to be a must-win state to capture the Republican nomination.
Sure, winning the state would be very helpful toward gaining a majority of delegates. Without Indiana, he would struggle to get the 1,237 bound delegates needed to wrap up the nomination heading into the convention. But theres now a credible path to winning on the first ballot without it.
The main reason is Mr. Trumps success on Tuesday among Pennsylvanias 54 unpledged delegates. Even though none of them are officially bound to a candidate, 31 of the 54 spots went to delegates preferred by Mr. Trump. And before the election, others had said they would vote for the winner of their district (Mr. Trump won all of the states districts). My colleague Jeremy W. Peters reported that Mr. Trump appeared to have won about 40 of Pennsylvanias 54 unbound delegates. If this holds, the delegate math is a little different than what you might have read . Thats because my analysis and that of others included only pledged delegates; the 54 unpledged delegates were held out of Mr. Trumps path to 1,237.
If he has indeed moved many of those delegates off the sideline and into his territory, it obviates the necessity for him to win Indiana, which is worth 57 delegates . He would still need a comfortable victory in California enough to win about 130 of the states 172 delegates in the event of a loss in Indiana. He could bring that figure as low as 115 with good outcomes in West Virginia, Oregon, Washington and New Mexico, or with a few additional districts in Indiana.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
It’s important for Trump to strive for 1237+ COMMITTED delegates BEFORE the convention, and win on the first ballot with no drama. He needs to remove any doubt of victory. Can’t have any talk of “Yeah, he won BUT...”.
Until then, he can’t go in to prevent defense, he can’t just run the ball up the middle. He needs to be confident and aggressive. Which he will be to the max, I’m sure.
If he gets 40+ in IN and 120+ in CA that should accomplish that.
He will also likely get 50-60 uncommitted delegates, but that will be gravy.
You need to step away from your computer and in particular FR and take a look at the real world.
You also, step outside FR for a while, breathe deep then come back.
I say save the Damned fish and forget the two dead crocodiles.
I believe Ted Cruz could have done a lot of good in the Senate or as a justice on SCOTUS.That can only be based on your willingness to believe...there is no other evidence.
Will Terd Cruz ever drop out?No, Cruz is insanely obsessed with being a thorn in Trumps side...nothing else matters.
Cruz is on the edge of a very steep cliff...a few more steps and he’s a goner.
The irony is his new found friends in the GOPe will be glad to see him take that fall, either as the losing nominee or as a failed kamakazi candidate.
He may not need Indiana but I expect he’ll win it all the same!
I say Trump needs to take it, every delegate counts.
“:^)
I believe Trump does need Indiana.
Why?
Cruz is now betting all of his hopes on Indiana. They need to be dashed...and I say this as one who has supported Cruz.
The truth is what it is...and we need the GOP (without the “e”) to now unite. A defeat in Indiana will bring that about quicker.
The NY Times wants a hard, ugly fight right to the convention floor. I do not.
This is why Trump will win in November:
The Donald Trump Phenomenon
http://www.jeffhead.com/Trump-Phenom.htm
The GOP establishment does not get it...but fears it.
The democrat establishment does not get it...but fears it.
The MSM does not get it...but fears it.
And despite all of their efforts, they have not been able to blunt it.
For Trump to have already gotten over 10 million votes in a GOP Primary that started with 17 candidates tells us that these things are true.
We need this infighting to stop soonest now.
John, wake up.
“:^)
I agree. After yesterday and him announcing Fiorina as a running mate, I’m at a loss to grasp the continued Tead supporter.
The "conservative" radio people are afraid of Trump. Trump might just decide to copy FDR's "fireside radio chats", only do it off the White House web site. They're afraid he might take away their audience.
One big issue that Reagan overcame, was figuring out how to bypass the MSM and speak directly to the people. In 2016, that's easy, as Trump demonstrated. Have a large twitter following. Have speeches on YouTube and other media. Don't let yourself be filtered by the press, put what you have to say out on the internet, where anybody can access it for himself. And if the press tries to distort what you say, then the full context is out there, and people can see for themselves.
Ted and Carly can go shoot some rings at a campaign stop.
I agree. He needs Indiana so he’s not working on a razors edge through June 7th.
#...22 &24
Their posts are accurate and well said!
It’s YOU who need to step away.....far away.....and get a grip!
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