Let's be cautious. Remember when initially McDaniel said there was no path to stopping him from winning the primary runoff (or something that implied that)? Then the disgusting insider backstabbers came up with that scheme to use non-Republicans to steal the nomination.
They're wounded animals, and now Cruz is a leader of the pack. I won't be sure the number reaches 1237 until the delegate count reaches that number!
The math is simple, there are 512 of delegates left after today... Trump will be somewhere near 1000 by the end of the night. Of the 512 left he’ll need about 250 roughly to reach the minimum of 1237....
Cruz is fading, and Kasich never was... the actions of Cruz during and since Wisconsin have ensured he will continue to be beating by larger and larger margins with every passing loss. Polls show now that most republican voters view him as an establishment candidate... and that was before his latest publicly announced deal with Kasich.
Cruz’s numbers began to tank nationally during and after Wisconsin when he got full in bed with the establishment in exchange for them handing him a win there... his numbers will continue to drop, and Trump’s will continue to rise.
The alliance with Kasich will kill him even more than the perpetual loses he is suffering will... With every passing state his share of the votes will keep falling.. the exception being SD, NE and MT... and honestly even there he may not win as his support is cratering.
As it becomes more and more evident that Cruz has no path, and that a contested convention would be absolutely devastating, and Cruz continues to act like an establishment politician, the more and more people who may not like Trump, will either stay home or will vote for him just for the sake of preventing a contested convention.
I understand that yes, statistically its not over, but there is no path to recovery for Cruz, at this point he’s just harming himself long term.... I truly believe he may not even win re-election in 2018 with his behavior in this race... Even Texas has a limit to how much embarrassment they’ll endure.