That’s absurd. Cruz can certainly obtain the 1237 delegates on the second or subsequent ballots. To be honest, you could too.
I would remind Trump supports that the rules do not give the nomination to the person who has the most delegates on the first ballot but to the person who first reaches 1237.
Nice try! Here is the alternative universe...
Currently, the RCP delegate race has...Trump with 745, Cruz with 555, Rubio with 171, Kasich with 143, and 89 uncommitted...hope we can at least agree on this snapshot!
There are a few problems with the RedStateWatcher analysis...
First, 54 of the 71 PA delegates will be unbound going into Cleveland, so we will not know if Trump has 40 votes until the 1st ballot vote. Unbound means uncertain!
Second, there is no polling available for Indiana and a number of other states (WA, OR, NM). So. these state may go either way at this point!
Cruz will be the 1st candidate coming this week in the semi-WTA Hoosier state. I doubt that Trump will romp here in this very conservative, religious state! I can easily see Cruz, not Trump, winning 40+ delegates here!
So, this is a possible scenario going into Cleveland...
The way things are going, Trump will have about 1175 declared delegates going into Cleveland (the PA and IN factors).
Cruz should have a little over 800 declared delegates going into Cleveland...that will only require him to win 255 out of the remaining 760 delegates (33%) in upcoming primaries! This is pretty close to the RedState estimate!
Rubio has 171 declared...
Kasich has 143, will likely end up with about 150 declared...
The RNC has about 89 undeclared, will likely have about 150 undeclared...
At Cleveland, alliances are made to deny Trump on the first ballot...
800+171+150+150=1,271....President Cruz!
Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner!
He’s not going for a primary win, he’s going for a convention win. He won’t get that either.
And Ted the petulant child will stay in the race because he can’t stand the thought that he lost. He hopes for a contested convention. I have no clue as to why because he still won’t be the candidate
I guess that's the "rough patch" Paul Manafort said Cruz was going to have (smirk).
Frank Sinatra’s “My Way” makes me think of Ted Cruz.
Stoopit
Time to pull out the Trump card!
Yes and Cruz needs to GTFO after April 26th. He is on life support now.
Lying Ted’s establishment Cruzade has nothing to do with winning over voters since he’s rejected in actual elections by staggering #’s... Just wait and see what the next few weeks are like.
Cruzlims, which now includes the GOPe just want to steal it.