Posted on 04/16/2016 1:34:33 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
In ten days, April 26th, if calculations are correct, it will be mathematically impossible for Cruz to win.
thegatewaypundit.com reports: As we noted on the 2nd, “Even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates in Rhode Island or Connecticut or any of these states, it will not be enough to keep him mathematically in the race.”
Now it looks like Cruz will not only be mathematically eliminated from obtaining enough delegates to win the election outright by April 26th, he may also have fallen to third place in the polls by the end of April, too.
Based on current conservative estimates, come April 26th, Cruz will need 657 delegates to win the election but only 585 will be left leaving him mathematically out of the race.
Trump will only need 279 delegates or less than 50% of the delegates remaining to win the nomination.
And according to our conservative estimates – Trump should gain 1237 delegates by June 7th making him the Republican nominee.
(Excerpt) Read more at redstatewatcher.com ...
You are one hundred percent right. Cruz knew exactly which gutter Roe would drag his campaign into:
‘Cruz was intimately familiar with Roe’s aggressive tactics before he hired him. He’d been on the receiving end in 2012, when Roe was the direct-mail consultant for Cruz’s Senate primary opponent. One Roe-produced mailer so incensed Cruz that he pulled it out as a prop during a debate and denounced his opponent for daring to “impugn my patriotism.”
About two years later, Cruz hired him.’
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/ted-cruz-tricks-jeff-roe-219945
I can’t stand to hear him any more, but his campaign suspension speech will be one to savor.
Looking at your chart. What happened on April 6 that sent Cruz diving to the briny deep?
Cruz will not be suspending his campaign EVER! He will go the Convention in hopes of getting the nomination after the first ballot where Trump falls sort of 1237. Ted is toast if Trump wins on the first ballot.
Just nitpicking, I think your remark is generally correct. IIRC, he did in Ohio, and he still fires an occassional shot at the governor. But Trump tends to focus on one opponent at a time, and that is the one who is closest in the contest.
Here are the facts.
Cruz is going to get crushed in the northern states, just as he was crushed
and run over in the Souh.
By April 26th Cruz will be mathmatically eliminated.
His continued presence in the race would be only to stop Trump.
A lot more people will begin to turn on him.
Those are the “facts”.
I guess that's the "rough patch" Paul Manafort said Cruz was going to have (smirk).
Shutting down the government was argued by the GOPE to be a disaster for the party in 2013.
They were terrified and to this day it is the primary reason most senators do not like Cruz.
If the GOPE was correct then voters would have punished the Republicans in the Senate elections of 2014. Democrats at that time controlled the senate. They believed based media reports that Cruz’s “foolish” shutdown of the government would lead the public to give the Democrats more seats in the senate.
not only did that not happen, but more conservatives and republicans were elected to the senate.
Had the senate not changed hands in january of 2015, Eric Holder would now be sitting in Justice Scalia’s seat.
If that were the case, we would already be accepting multiple catastrophic supreme court decisions with regard to our values.
I believe Cruz’s brave stand in 2013 is what encouraged the public to believe they could send more fighters like Cruz to the senate in fall of 2014.
That is what happened.
Banning terrorists from the United States absolutely is a conservative bill.
It is time to reward Ted Cruz for his good work and successes on our behalf.
Considering that Texas gave us LBJ and GWB, 2 of the worst presidents in history... they don’t have a lot to be proud of.
_____________________
Even as a fifth generation Texan, I’ll agree with you about LBJ and Bush, (and we certainly don’t need Cruz, who is more of the same) but I don’t agree that we don’t have a lot to be proud of.
(See my ‘about page’ for a brief run down of its amazing history and photos of its amazing ecological diversity.)
Yeah, that’s just what we need to face Hillary in the Fall, someone who can’t win the most popular votes or delegates, yet will win on the 10th ballot using rules made up by the party elites that so many voters are against this year...yupp, that should produce a really strong candidate for the voters to rally behind... /sarc
You said it better than I could. Just wait until the cannons (rail guns) are pointed at Hillary. It will be amazing.
aw, c’mon, MI was a whole week ago!
So, you’re not willing for the behemoth government to be shut down in order to negotiate a better deal for the American people? And you think one senator shut it down when it was Obama who refused to negotiate with our representatives?
Cruz will never be elected President.
Sorry if that pops your bubble.
By April 26th he will be mathmatically elimated.
If the GOP rigs the nomination for him to stop Trump,
Cruz will lose. He will be blamed and he will be finished.
He will then go to work for Goldman Sachs.
Was a “better deal” negotiated after Cruz shut the Government down?
No, it wasn’t. So what purpose did it serve other than grandstanding?
I really like watching Hillary “get shrill.” I wonder what he’d call her?
Now that's rich, coming from the most obnoxious poster on the internet.
If Americans believed all the things you said Cruz did,
he would be leading the Presidental race.
Not trailing Trump.
My apologies, Texas as a wonderful history full of great leaders and amazing people and I know more a little bit about it. Recent presidents from the state have been poor and I came across far too broadly.
He won’t be “mathematically eliminated” because this is not a math problem
When Trump fails to get 1237 on the first ballot, which is likely, the second ballot will see unattached delegates moving toward cruz.
We already know this.
Trump is very likely to fall short of 1237. You and his followers do not understand the delegate system that does not direct delegates as tightly as your “math” leads you to believe.
Cruz has a very good chance to win the nomination because of Trump’s ignorance of the delegate process.
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