Posted on 04/16/2016 1:34:33 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
In ten days, April 26th, if calculations are correct, it will be mathematically impossible for Cruz to win.
thegatewaypundit.com reports: As we noted on the 2nd, “Even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates in Rhode Island or Connecticut or any of these states, it will not be enough to keep him mathematically in the race.”
Now it looks like Cruz will not only be mathematically eliminated from obtaining enough delegates to win the election outright by April 26th, he may also have fallen to third place in the polls by the end of April, too.
Based on current conservative estimates, come April 26th, Cruz will need 657 delegates to win the election but only 585 will be left leaving him mathematically out of the race.
Trump will only need 279 delegates or less than 50% of the delegates remaining to win the nomination.
And according to our conservative estimates – Trump should gain 1237 delegates by June 7th making him the Republican nominee.
(Excerpt) Read more at redstatewatcher.com ...
True.
I think Ted would have done much better if he and his PACs had taken the high road.
Texas values:
New study finds most big cities in Texas lean liberal
Yeah, whatever.
The difficult math for Cruz has been evident for weeks. If he stays in after he can’t win, he will be tarred with being part of the GOPe, true or not.
Id alliances are going to happen they better happen soon. If Rubio and/or Kasich throws in with Cruz it’s a double-edged sword.
You’re probably right, but the high road was ruled out the moment Cruz hired Mr Dirty Tricks himself, Jeff Roe.
Cruz doesn’t need 1237 up front to win, he just needs to prevent Trump from reaching 1237.
Who’s hateful? She posted an article.
If you don’t wanna see Cruz win. If you don’t wanna hand the election off to Hillary, which a Cruz nomination does, then don’t support the Cruz campaign. Then vote Trump. Cruz, it ain’t winning when the voters vote against you. It is the voters voting for the country and reclaiming sanity. Whine is best served with delegate stealing and lyin’.
Thank God.
I agree, it's not like she used chalk.
The biggest mistake he made was going into preacher mode in South Carolina, and campaigning as if he were on a revival crusade. It never occurred to Ted that most Americans, regardless of region, are thinking jobs/economy and safety of the homeland and its borders before values issues. He lost the whole South because he failed to realize that even there a good many voters didn’t have ideology as their primary issue. In any other election cycle Cruz should of won handily there.
Yes, because the RNC is part of the DC Uni-Party.
Trump, like a lot of very successful men learns a lot from his failures.
‘I hope you get judged harshly’
You’re playing with fire:
7 “Do not judge so that you will not be judged. 2 For in the way you judge, you will be judged; and by your standard of measure, it will be measured to you.”
‘Cruz doesn’t need 1237 up front to win, he just needs to prevent Trump from reaching 1237.’
Trump: I’m trying to win with the voters. Cruz is trying to win despite them.
TED CRUZ-— From Canadian anchor baby to Colorado tar baby.
That’s absurd. Cruz can certainly obtain the 1237 delegates on the second or subsequent ballots. To be honest, you could too.
I would remind Trump supports that the rules do not give the nomination to the person who has the most delegates on the first ballot but to the person who first reaches 1237.
Nice try! Here is the alternative universe...
Currently, the RCP delegate race has...Trump with 745, Cruz with 555, Rubio with 171, Kasich with 143, and 89 uncommitted...hope we can at least agree on this snapshot!
There are a few problems with the RedStateWatcher analysis...
First, 54 of the 71 PA delegates will be unbound going into Cleveland, so we will not know if Trump has 40 votes until the 1st ballot vote. Unbound means uncertain!
Second, there is no polling available for Indiana and a number of other states (WA, OR, NM). So. these state may go either way at this point!
Cruz will be the 1st candidate coming this week in the semi-WTA Hoosier state. I doubt that Trump will romp here in this very conservative, religious state! I can easily see Cruz, not Trump, winning 40+ delegates here!
So, this is a possible scenario going into Cleveland...
The way things are going, Trump will have about 1175 declared delegates going into Cleveland (the PA and IN factors).
Cruz should have a little over 800 declared delegates going into Cleveland...that will only require him to win 255 out of the remaining 760 delegates (33%) in upcoming primaries! This is pretty close to the RedState estimate!
Rubio has 171 declared...
Kasich has 143, will likely end up with about 150 declared...
The RNC has about 89 undeclared, will likely have about 150 undeclared...
At Cleveland, alliances are made to deny Trump on the first ballot...
800+171+150+150=1,271....President Cruz!
Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner!
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