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To: Strac6
New York Values ‏@JohnStrom45

New York Poll Fox News 4/5/2016 Trump 53.3% Kasich 21.3% Cruz 19% #NY #NYC #Polls #TrumpTrain #NeverCruz #GOP #MAGA


65 posted on 04/06/2016 6:47:36 AM PDT by Byron_the_Aussie (It's them or us.)
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To: Byron_the_Aussie

I don’t know how the Cruz folk will spin those numbers. If that was Cruz, we would never hear the end of it.


200 posted on 04/06/2016 8:53:07 AM PDT by Pinkbell (Liberal tolerance only extends to people they agree with.)
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To: Byron_the_Aussie

Those are great numbers for Trump, even considering that they are in his home state.

RCP has him +31.2 average in New York. He will of course win NY, and with his “style” probably win big. Same for him in NJ or PA.

But the real number that counts will be his winning percentage, vs. how he is polling. If he wins at a +30 or greater, even a +28, that will be a great sign for him, and to the DC decision makers.

If he wins as only a +18 to +20 or less, that will be moderately bad for him. A +10 or + 14 win, in his home state, by the candidate leading the delegate count, would be horrible.

These are the “between the lines” numbers that really count when predicting how a primary candidate will do in the general.... and please remember, winning in November is everything. Losing in November is speeches to the Friday Noon Kiawanis CLub in Muldraw, Kentucky.


469 posted on 04/06/2016 2:54:49 PM PDT by Strac6 (Remember, the Primaries are shortlived. ALL THAT MATTERS IS THE NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION)
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