Posted on 03/18/2016 7:32:49 AM PDT by Kaslin
The polls may show Hillary leading Trump right now, but Trump has been playing his subterranean oppo game mostly against the contending Repugs so far. Once that field is cleared, he’ll shift his attention to undermining Hillary, and the polls will change fast.
Mittens: we all know Romney would beat Hillary. /s
“The trite “Trump only does well with uneducated white men” meme is utterly tiresome and threadbare. Give it a rest, Erick.
I observe how inner-city Hillary supporters work on Mars spacecraft and/or cures for cancer when not working hard at their 9-5 jobs”
It is well known that Hillary’s voters take their welfare checks and the money they made from crime to spend their leisure time perfecting fusion technology and solving inconsistencies in string theory.
Ericsson developed severe TDS after the spanking Trump administered to him this summer. I suspect he will never recover.
Lol, ‘bout sums it up. He’s a lost soul, preaching to his dogs who show up in all his twitter feeds. He’s a bloated know nothing hater. Add him to the growing pile of those I shall never ever listen to for sound reasoning again.
So Erickson spends the first paragraph or two acknowledging that he got it wrong with regard to Trump. So what does he do for the remainder of the article? Proceed with some humility in his predictions for the remainder of the race? Not in the slightest. He propounds his flawed analysis with the same arrogant certainty that he had when he was insisting Trump would drop out.
Cruz can get to 1237
Even Kasich can get to 1237 because there are more than 1237 delegates left.
Nope. There are not.
At this point, there are about 905.
I think this is a fair assessment of the situation:
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/03/presidential_primary_schedule.html
Trump currently has 678 delegates, 559 short of the number needed for the nomination. His closest rival, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, has 413 and Ohio Gov. John Kasich has 143. About 60 percent of all Republican delegates have been awarded so far, with Trump winning 47 percent of those. If that pace continues, Trump could end up about 100 delegates short of the 1,237 needed at the convention. To win the nomination outright, Trump needs to win more than 60 percent of the remaining delegates.
The previous pace of delegate percentage is a proper measure because of the remaining 19 states, 11 are winner take all, 3 are winner take most, 1 is direct election, and 4 are proportional. Prior to March 15, most were proportional and winner take most.
This was demonstrated on March 15, when with mostly winner-take-all delegates, Trump came away with about 250 of 400 or 63% that day. Cruz failed to take a single state. Kasich won’t win another state probably, and Trump is leading the polls in most of the remaining states, and especially in the large ones.
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