Posted on 03/17/2016 6:14:55 AM PDT by Enlightened1
After Super Tuesday 2.0 Donald Trump is on track to secure the Republican nomination.
Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) would need 87% of remaining primary voters to win the nomination.
It might be time for Ted Cruz to drop out and endorse Donald J. Trump?
The New York Times reported:
Donald J. Trump’s series of victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Senator Marco Rubio of Florida out of the presidential race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position.
Here are some ways the Republican nominating contest could unfold. Try adjusting the sliders to see how the outcomes change. Each line in the chart represents one possible outcome.
If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.
After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
I am reminded of the following:
“The closest thing to a universal truth that I have found is that people respond to being treated with respect.”
You don’t remind me of that. Sad
By the way, whos us?
Primary voters, fewer than half of whom have voted for Trump; also delegates, fewer than half of whom are assigned to Trump.
Yep. Previsely.
Yep par for the course.
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/
According to this, if someone other than Ted Cruz wins 130 delegates in upcoming contests Cruz is eliminated.
1,003 delegates remaining x .87 Cruz needs = 873
1,003 - 873 = 130
If some one other than Ted Cruz wins just 131 or so, Cruz can’t get there
PS, you and Cruzers will love this: Today MITT ROMNEY came out in support of Cruz. Glenn Beck, Nikki Haley. At least THESE people don’s suffer from cognitive dissonance when it comes to their guy, and they are on the side that they believe in and agree with (open borders, amnesty, gang of 8, globalism, TPP, TPA, NAFTA, North American Union, CFR, millions of new H1Bs and other immigrant work visas, settlement of rapefugee Syrians here by the tens of thousands, keep the door open to unlimited muslimes, etc.)
Cruz does NOT support H-1B. From https://www.tedcruz.org/cruz-immigration-plan/:
Amend the H-1B visa program to fulfill its original purpose: Work with Congress to pass reform legislation for the H-1B visa program that will:
"Ted Cruz, Jeff Sessions Roll Out Antidote To Broken H-1B Program: American Jobs First Act" - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3371276/posts
"Ted Cruz Explains why His Position on H-1B Visas Has Changed" - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3376485/posts
Die
Die
Here’s a valid question for you:
If Trump has a ceiling of 49%, in a two-man race, does Cruz have a floor of 51%?!? That’s laughable.
We DON’T KNOW what Trump’s ceiling is in a two-way race.
But, for now, it’s a three-way race. As it stands, I could easily see him handing Cruz’s ass to him on a silver platter in the northeast:
NY (proportional, 95 delegates): 65% (based on latest poll) of 95 = 62
NJ (winner-take-all, 51): Trump was crushing it in the polls in a five-way race and still should be, so 51
CT (proportional, 28): no recent poll data, but at least 15
RI (proportional, 19): Trump is killing it in the polls there, at least 10... probably 13-14
DE (winner-take-all, 16): no poll data, but Cruz won’t win here, 16
MD (winner-take-all, 38): not guaranteed, but I’d put money on it, 38
PA (winner-take-all, 71): Trump led in the polls two weeks ago by 17 points with Rubio still in. Rubio had 19 points. I doubt Cruz can take all 19. [Cruz is hated in PA, by the way; I live here, and I feel confident of that.] So, 71.
If my intuition is right, that gives Trump a minimum of 263... and probably more like 270.
I’m pretty sure he’ll take a bunch of other winner-take-all contests:
AZ (58): he leads solidly in two polls, so 58
WI (42): he led solidly in the last polls a month ago, so 42
CA (172): the biggie. He led handily in the polls the four-way race, with Rubio’s share not enough for Cruz to close the gap even if he got all of it. Plus, CA GOP is very heavily anti-Mexican illegals. So... 172
Right there, you have another 272. That’s 535 total. With his current 678, that puts him at 1213... 23 short of 1236.
But wait... I already said that I’m betting he’ll get another 7 out of the Northeast. So, he’d be 16 short.
Then, you have the proportional, direct election and unbound contests:
UT (40)
ND (28)
WV (34)
OR (28)
WA (44)
NM (24): Lots of anti-illegal sentiment in GOP here
Other winner-take-all
MT (27): No idea. No poll data. But I’m guessing that Trump’s xenophobic rhetoric will play well here.
SD (29): Again, no idea... no poll data.
If you can figure out how Trump won’t dig 16 delegates out of that map, be my guest.
Ironically, Kasich may be the spoiler. He’ll not only deny Cruz 3 or 4 contests he might have won one-on-one, but he’ll probably keep him from achieving the 8 state win threshold demanded by the convention rules.
Even if Kasich drops out, Trump should be close or over the required delegate count. And if he’s within 100 or so... it would be DAMN tough for the GOP to broker this without a full-scale revolt.
Plus, I could see Trump and Cruz joining forces... either one at the top of the ticket and the other as Veep.
Let’s see how it goes!
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