[PapaBear3625]

Cruz is done

He needs to win 80% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination.

It ain't happening, even if Trump's campaign implodes and Trump suspends.

[drpix]

Here's the math for the 3 remaining

Delegates	Count	% of remaining 
available	1079 
needed 		1237  

trump has	661
trump needs	406 	(38.6%)
cruz has	406
cruz needs	831 	(77.0%)
kasich has	142
kasish needs	1095	(101.5%)

Cruz's chance of winning is half of Trump's chance.

Kasich's chance is worst than zero and requires many more delegates than the 1,079 remaining.

In short Cruz is running against the wind and Kasich is running to steal it from the voters at the convention.

[drpix]

CORRECTED math for the 3 remaining

Delegates	Count	% of remaining 
available	1079 
needed 		1237  

trump has	661
trump needs	418 	(38.7%)   <==
cruz has	406
cruz needs	831 	(77.0%)
kasich has	142
kasish needs	1095	(101.5%)

Cruz's chance of winning is half of Trump's chance.

Kasich's chance is worst than zero and requires many more delegates than the 1,079 remaining.

In short Cruz is running against the wind and Kasich is running to steal it from the voters at the convention.

[drpix]

You're right. Again, my mistake... slopping pasting on Excel.

Delegates	Count	% of remaining 
available	1079 
needed 		1237  

trump has	661
trump needs	575 	(53.4%)   <==
cruz has	406
cruz needs	831 	(77.0%)
kasich has	142
kasish needs	1095	(101.5%)

Cruz's chance of winning is 2/3s of Trump's chance.

Kasich's chance is worst than zero and requires many more delegates than the 1,079 remaining.

In short Cruz is running against the wind and Kasich is running to steal it from the voters at the convention.

Double sorry for the double mistake!