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Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio
NBCNews ^ | March 13, 2016 | MARK MURRAY

Posted on 03/13/2016 10:27:55 AM PDT by Steelfish

Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio by MARK MURRAY

OHIO: Kasich 39% to Trump 33%

Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the March 15 primary states of Florida and Illinois, while John Kasich holds the edge in his home state of Ohio, according to three new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.

On the Democratic side, meanwhile, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders in all three states, although she's just narrowly ahead in Illinois.

In Florida, Trump holds a 2-to-1 advantage among likely GOP voters over Marco Rubio, the state's U.S. senator, 43 percent to 22 percent. They're followed by Ted Cruz at 21 percent and John Kasich at 9 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; trump
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Comment #41 Removed by Moderator

To: babble-on

YOUNGSTOWN

About 1,000 Democrats in Mahoning County so far have switched their party affiliation to Republican with election officials saying several did it to vote for Donald Trump, the GOP presidential front-runner.

“We are seeing something this election cycle I’ve never seen before to this degree,” said board Chairman Mark Munroe, who’s also the county Republican chairman. “Every day I take phone calls or get voice messages from people saying they’ve been Democrats all their life and they’ve had it. They want to vote for Donald Trump. I’m surprised at the volume of inquiries we’re getting. It’s remarkable.”

A number of Democrats taking a Republican ballot when voting early at the board “say they want to vote for Trump,” said Joyce Kale-Pesta, Mahoning County Board of Elections director.

About 7,000 Mahoning County voters have cast early votes. Early voting started Feb. 17 and ends March 14, the day before the primary.

Of those 7,000, about 14 percent were Democrats who voted Republican, Kale-Pesta said. That’s about 1,000 so far.

The percentage of Democrats switching parties will grow even more, said board Vice Chairman David Betras, who also is the county Democratic chairman.

And it doesn’t concern Betras.

“I knew Donald Trump’s message would resonate with blue-collar Democrats,” he said. “But once they learn about his record – besides him being anti-trade – they will change their minds in the general election. I assure you that come the general election, voters will vote our way once we tell the story of Donald Trump. The more chaos created in the Republican primary, the better Democrats will do in the general election.”

Betras, who backs Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, said it “would make me happy for Donald Trump to beat John Kasich,” the Ohio governor running for president as a Republican.

About 5 percent of Republicans – 350 voters – cast Democrat ballots of those who’ve voted so far, said Chris Rakocy, the board’s information technology manager.


42 posted on 03/13/2016 11:03:39 AM PDT by ameribbean expat
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To: kabar
Well you can review my posting history if you doubt my commitment to Trump. I'll let my posting history speak for itself.

I hope you are correct in that Trump can put this thing away just by winning FL Tuesday night (which I'm pretty sure he easily will). But I think OH is very important. Yes, it is Kasich's home state but Kasich is not a serious contender for the WH at this point. There is only one reason Kasich is still in this race and it's to use his home state to deny valuable delegates to Trump.

I hope the people of Ohio can see through this tactic and do the right thing Tuesday night. Even if they like Kasich as governor (and he probably has been a good governor for OH), they should resist the temptation to hand him this meaningless vanity prize and vote for whom they believe actually has a shot at being our next president - which is Trump or Cruz.

43 posted on 03/13/2016 11:03:45 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Delegates So Far: Trump (458); Cruz (359); Little Marco (151)
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Comment #44 Removed by Moderator

To: Cementjungle

Bless you! for both your vote and your sneezes. Hot tea, honey and cayenne pepper with a dash of lemon juice. Is that a fever you’re feeling? :-))


45 posted on 03/13/2016 11:05:56 AM PDT by V K Lee (u TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP to TRIUMPH Follow the lead MAKE AMERICA GREAT)
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To: babble-on

Once again.

What poll is Lyin’ Ted leading?


46 posted on 03/13/2016 11:06:27 AM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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To: GOPe Means Bend Over Spell Run

I know it happens here.


47 posted on 03/13/2016 11:07:25 AM PDT by RC one
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To: Steelfish

Why is Kasich moving up in the polls against Trump in Ohio?

Probably because Ohio Republicans who had planned to vote for Cruz or Rubio have decided to vote for Kasich instead.

The majority of the 67% of Ohio Republicans who are not supporting Donald Trump must be angry with him for attacking their popular Republican governor, and they are therefore likely to coalesce behind him to defeat Trump.


48 posted on 03/13/2016 11:07:53 AM PDT by Bluestocking
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To: RC one

Don’t blame us either for the fact Cruz exposed himself as a Bush errand boy and doing what they and the establishment order him to do to get their money and support against Trump.


49 posted on 03/13/2016 11:09:41 AM PDT by dowcaet
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Comment #50 Removed by Moderator

To: Steelfish
People keep noting how does this guy do 3 events a day?

2 so far today @ airports, he wheels in with his plane, gets off, does the event and jets off to another one.

He saves the travel time to someplace in the city, and all the security and logistics involved.

It probably requires at least 3 Secret-Service teams ( or 2 one rotates ahead after theirs is done ) being their in advance, so he can exit and roll.

Efficient use of time and great logistics, may it be a sneak-peak of his potential administration.

51 posted on 03/13/2016 11:11:03 AM PDT by taildragger (Not my Monkey, not my Circus...)
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To: italianquaker
And if he doesn't win Ohio?

This will turn into a major debacle with all kinds of angst and drama from the RNC.

We'll hear a load of crap about how only Romney/ McCain /Bush/ Huckabee/ anyone but Trump can beat the hildabeast.

52 posted on 03/13/2016 11:12:11 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: GOPe Means Bend Over Spell Run

A vote for Kasich means you are a POS!


53 posted on 03/13/2016 11:15:49 AM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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To: V K Lee
Is that a fever you’re feeling? :-))

Yep... same flu that's making its rounds with everyone around here lately. My sister and niece just returned to England after a 2-week visit... they're now on train to Penzance... and texted me that they're now sick with it too.... I feel guilty!

54 posted on 03/13/2016 11:19:49 AM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: SamAdams76
I just reviewed your posting history and concluded that I am mistaken. You are a Trump supporter.

I hope you are correct in that Trump can put this thing away just by winning FL Tuesday night (which I'm pretty sure he easily will). But I think OH is very important. Yes, it is Kasich's home state but Kasich is not a serious contender for the WH at this point. There is only one reason Kasich is still in this race and it's to use his home state to deny valuable delegates to Trump.

I agree that Kasich is in the race to take the 66 delegates for the GOPe. He is the only one that Trump could not beat easily in Ohio. In fact, Kasich has said that he wants a brokered convention.

I don't think we should create the false expectation of a Trump win in OH. It will be very, very difficult to defeat a sitting governor with an 80% approval rating. It would be a bonus, but I anticipate a loss in Ohio. It won't be the end of the world as long as Trump takes FL and does well elsewhere where the delegates are distributed proportionately. Trump could pick up 200 delegates on Tuesday with a win in FL and doing well elsewhere other than Ohio. He would then have close to 700 votes, more than halfway there with more votes coming up in AZ and the Northeast where he will be favored to do well.

Cruz has a slim mathematical chance to win enough delegates, but the reality is that he won't be able to overtake Trump for the most delegates and the most votes. Cruz really wants a brokered convention as well to steal it from Trump.

55 posted on 03/13/2016 11:19:51 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Steelfish

NBC News polls have been ,BY FAR, the farthest off and most biased in this cycle.

They are blatantly PUSH POLLING to drive preset narratives, not polling opinion.


56 posted on 03/13/2016 11:20:50 AM PDT by tcrlaf (They told me it could never happen in America. And then it did....)
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To: tcrlaf

Here’s why Trump would be an unmitigated disaster.
Tell us why you think we are wrong.

An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll last week found that two-thirds of voters overall — anti-Trump Republicans and Democrats — couldn’t see a circumstance under which they’d vote for Trump in November. A separate NBC News/SurveyMonkey tracking poll found a large percentage of nonwhite voters, the growing chunk of the electorate, were anti-Trump.

According to the survey, 86% of African American voters and 75% of Latino voters had an unfavorable view of Trump. All told, 7 in 10 nonwhite voters said they had a “very” unfavorable view of the man who, before Saturday, had won 14 of the 22 Republican contests.


57 posted on 03/13/2016 11:23:10 AM PDT by Steelfish
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To: Steelfish

And 80% have said no to Cruz nice fuzzy math lol


58 posted on 03/13/2016 11:43:15 AM PDT by remaxagnt (`)
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To: PapaBear3625
DC primary was yesterday. Trump came third behind Rubio and Kasich, and got no delegates. Not a surprise -- DC is the city of the Establishment, and anybody wanting to reduce government would not have many fans there.

Cruz came in last!! If anything the DC primary reflected who the establishment wants and who it doesn't. This is a badge of honor to be last. Again Cruz beats Trump as the most anti-establishment candidate.

59 posted on 03/13/2016 11:43:21 AM PDT by bubman
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To: Steelfish

We will find out on Tuesday. Don’t be surprised if the actual votes are contrary to this poll. This is the same polling outfit that had Cruz tied up with Trump in SC.


60 posted on 03/13/2016 11:47:33 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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