I am in Idaho.
I believe this poll is flawed.
It is virtually the same as a poll conducted back in January. Lots has changed since then and somehow this poll is not reflecting it.
Trump may have a lead in a poll like this...but on the ground the Cruz team is much stronger.
Both Cruz and Rubio were in Idaho on Saturday and Sunday.
I believe Cruz has a very good chance of winning on Tuesday.
Now, make no mistake, Trump has some strength here. There are a lot of people, all over the country, including in Idaho, who are simply angry at the GOP, and will vote for Trump as the definitive anti-GOPe candidate.
“[poll] conducted Feb. 17-26” so doesn’t reflect last couple debates and last two election rounds. No wonder it looks like old data.
if Main’s 37 percent swing from polls is an indicator, and with trump not willing to put up 16 bucks to fight negative ads, anything can happen
Is Idaho a caucus state?
Hope the poll is wrong. While I like TX I always thought I’d move home to Idaho. I don’t think I could do it if they’ve slipped that far down the rabbit hole.
Cruz has had a stronger ground game nearly everywhere, but he still hasn’t won much. Idaho could go Cruz, not going to argue as I have no idea what’s going on out there.. but as I have said before, until you see Cruz win a large population/delegate primary state, the dynamics of the race haven’t shifted.
MS and MI are the two to watch tommorrow, Trump loses one or both of them, then we have an inflection point, and Trump will need to adjust.
Time will tell.