Posted on 03/04/2016 12:20:53 PM PST by Steelfish
rupert is honeymooning with his new wif
hahahahahaha
perhaps explains the leftwards shift.......
In other words, there is no way this poll adds up.
Trump would trounce Hillary and the left knows it. That is why they squeal so much.
Already we are seeing Trump take away Dem voters. Cruz could never do that. He only appeals to some of the base, but that is not enough to win because he will not get all the base or all Trump voters.
He would forever destroy conservatives because he would be a loser the GOPe could always use to bat conservatives down.
He is not a desirable personality or candidate.
Shame you can’t see the reality.
The poll is meaningless.
“FOX poll are unreliable and Phony. They have a mission.”
Fox News: thighs, lies and compromise.
Are these types of polling results supposed to convince me to change my support to someone else other than Trump??
It is about four polls in the last week that show him losing to Hillary, but that is not what should convince you since polls go up and down.
What should convince you is the nonsensical stuff he says every day. He repeats every day that the 9-11 hijackers flew their families out of the US which is utter nonsense. Only two of them were married and neither wife ever set foot in the USA. One had a steady girlfriend in Germany who never set foot in the USA. Just absolute, complete nonsense.
He said if the Speaker of The House doesn’t get along with him, he’ll have to pay a heavy price. Did he miss fourth grade when we learned about the division of powers?
Just absolute drivel, day after day, but like the Donald says, “:I love the poorly educated.”
They know the real data and it scares the shit out of them.
Link to the “real data?”
Carter 58%
Reagan 33%
I didn’t believe you so I looked it up here.
It’s true.
And I don’t know why when I use html (is that what I’m using?) it doesn’t give you a click link, have to copy and paste.
However, after March it changes so Trump needs to pick up from here on out.
Most people didn’t know Reagan at the time save for some older people whpo knew him as an actor.
Trump is very well known and been in the public eye for years
They like the polls that has the results they want. Any poll that shows Don beating her are right. Vise versa, they’re wrong.
However, some are right. Polls today don’t necessarily reflect what will happen in Nov. Here’s my scenario how Trump may win in Nov. “But he’s got yuuuge rallies.”
His negatives are up there with hers. That’s a fact that too many Trumpers refuse to believe. No question both these two are going to get dirty. Well, alot of voters decide they don’t like either one so they stay home. Then it becomes who has the most motivated voters. And, at this point, advantage Trump. Hillary’s just not inspiring anyone to vote for her
The GOP primary turnout AGAINST Trump is even huger than the votes he’s getting.
That anti-Trump turnout will only be YUGELY magnified in the general election, when all the non-GOP voters will be much less predisposed towards Trump.
The only question is how epic his landslide loss will be. Mondale-levels are not out of the question.
60% of registered vote say they won’t vote for Trump. His negatives among women who make up 53% of the electorate are even higher. The Trumpkins are taking this nation over the cliff like lemmings with blinders on.
? He was the governor of California. I think he was pretty well known.
The ONLY time this forecast, has been incorrect when applied, was ONCE, which was in 1960.
This is a PROFOUND PREDICTION
Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
The Statesman | February 23, 2016 | Christopher Cameron
Professor Helmut Norpoth's forecast presentation took place Monday evening in the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, which was organized by the Stony Brook Alumni Association.
Norpoth created a statistical model of presidential elections that uses a candidate's performance in their party's primary and patterns in the electoral cycle as predictors of the presidential vote in the general election.
Donald Trump has a 97 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of defeating Bernie Sanders in the general election, according to Norpoth's formula.
"The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president," Norpoth said, "if he's a nominee of the [Republican] party."
Norpoth's primary model works for every presidential election since 1912, with the notable exception of the 1960 election. These results give the model an accuracy of 96.1 percent.
Complete story source:
Yet, bless their hearts, they’ve convinced themselves that Trump has all these Democrats waiting to vote for him
60% of registered vote say they won’t vote for Trump. His negatives among women who make up 53% of the electorate are even higher. The Trumpkins are taking this nation over the cliff like lemmings with blinders on.
I still think he can win. I think it’ll come down who has the most enthusiastic base of support. Most people can’t stand both. Those people stay home on election night.Voting against a candidate never works.
If memory serves, didn’t BHO actual lose votes in 2012? But he got his base out to vote
November will answer everything
Reagan trailed Carter by 20 points in polls at this time in 1980. We see how that turned out!!!
This is way too early to be taking these hypothetical Hitlery/Trump matchup numbers seriously. Start paying attention to these head to head matchup polls beginning in September when folks are paying attention.
This is way too early to be taking these hypothetical Hitlery/Trump matchup numbers seriously.
I won’t disagree with you on this. Any poll now is no way reflective of what will happen in Nov. But they can be a snapshot of how people feel now. And polls aren’t flawless, either
“Hail, to the new Messiah”
Yeah, that’s working to change the minds of primary voters...not at all. Keep talking down to those you disagree with cuz’ you want to alone on an island, right?
Go Trump!
This is a forecast that will give you pause because of the number of times it’s been CORRECT since 1912.
The ONLY time this forecast, has been incorrect when applied, was ONCE, which was in 1960.
This is a PROFOUND PREDICTION
Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
The Statesman | February 23, 2016 | Christopher Cameron
A professor of political science at Stony Brook University has forecasted that Donald Trump has a minimum 97 percent chance of winning the general election as the Republican nominee.
Professor Helmut Norpoth’s forecast presentation took place Monday evening in the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, which was organized by the Stony Brook Alumni Association.
Norpoth created a statistical model of presidential elections that uses a candidate’s performance in their party’s primary and patterns in the electoral cycle as predictors of the presidential vote in the general election.
Donald Trump has a 97 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of defeating Bernie Sanders in the general election, according to Norpoth’s formula.
“The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president,” Norpoth said, “if he’s a nominee of the [Republican] party.”
Norpoth’s primary model works for every presidential election since 1912, with the notable exception of the 1960 election. These results give the model an accuracy of 96.1 percent.
Complete story source:
We’ll find out in November. :)
“Were these polls true, why is Trump winning the primaries?”
Surely you understand that primaries only reflect a small percentage of the general electorate, right? Trump is winning the majority of a minority, but that doesn’t in any way indicate an ability to win the broader election.
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