Posted on 02/23/2016 3:10:42 PM PST by justlittleoleme
With Super Tuesday just one week away, Sen. Ted Cruz remains the favorite to win his home state, according to a new poll.
Cruz is polling well in Texas. A survey published Tuesday by the University of Texas/Texas Tribune says he is 8 points in front of rival Republican candidate Donald Trump, with 37 percent support to Trump’s 29 percent. Texas has the most delegates of any March 1 primary state.
They are trailed by Sen. Marco Rubio with 15 percent support, followed by Jeb Bush (who has now dropped out of the race) at 6 percent. Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) and Dr. Ben Carson trail the field with 5 and 4 percent respectively.
Tea Party supporters overwhelmingly favor Cruz, 56 percent to Trump’s 26 percent. Rubio, though he ran for the Senate as a Tea Party-backed candidate, only grabbed 8 percent of citizens who identified with the constitutional conservative group.
Trump struggled the most with younger voters, according to the poll. He secured only 10 percent support from voters aged 18-29. His best performing age bracket fell in the 45-64 range.
Rubio’s most favorable age group came from the 65+ bracket.
Cruz led all age groups, but performed best with voters aged 30-44.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
That's the key. If Cruz "wins" by a plurality, his net gain will be only a few delegates. Cruz needs to get a majority of the votes so that he would get all of Texas's Republican delegates.
Palin is as much help to Trump as Beck is to Cruz (none whatsoever).
No question Cruz is done. But I can see him hanging in there until Texas hoping for a moral victory. By CNN’s numbers, Trump doesn’t need Texas.
Yep a royal hiss fit will be a comin’.
Trump will win TX. There, that makes it three.
University poll...nuff said....
Oh let Crooze be ahead for a while. ; )
DT is close behind, very close.
At least Cabana Boy is not likely to get delegates in Tejas.
Proportionality....rounding errors. Please re-check my estimates, because math is hard.
If Cruz gets 49% and Trump gets 20%, and the others 10 or 11% each, I think Cruz gets about 100 delegates, and Trump gets about 50, and none for the others.
If Cruz gets 49% and Trump gets 48%, and the others get 1% each, I think Cruz gets about 100 delegates, and Trump gets about 50, and none for the others
Or, if Cruz gets 22% and Trump gets 21%, and the others get 19% each, Cruz still gets about 100 and Trump still gets about 50, and none for the others.
So, unless Trump thinks he can actually beat Cruz there, why put much effort into Texas? Price? Momentum?
Even if Ted wins TX Trump will get a good share of the delegates.
Even if Ted wins TX Trump will get a good share of the delegates.
Ynot just leave off the T and say Rump like you mean to.
Ratfish.
When I voted early yesterday in Texas, Cruz was the only presidential candidate who had supporters outside the polling place (the legal distance from the polling place).
Lots of signs for other candidates but no people.
Never
Early voters are idiotic voters.
The Blaze just put up an article that one of Cruz’s campaign staffers just went rogue stating his campaign is done. I imagine the GOP is putting the smash down on him. I didn’t think it would take long.
“Misleading title
Usual”
“with 37 percent support to Trump’s 29 percent.” = 8%
Math is not really that hard is it?
Trump might think, however long to odds, Texas represents and opportunity to drive a stake through Cruz's heart.
Judging by the polling I've seen, which ain't been a whole lot, it is a long shot. What can change that? A blowout in Nevada where Cruz is a distant third. Another gaffe on the part of the Cruz campaign. A monumentally bad debate performance.
It could happen. I ain't betting against Cruz in Texas, but neither am I conceding a loss.
Would that “rogue staffer” happen to be a ticked off Rick Tyler?
Yep, we are Goosesteppin for Trump!
walking all OVER your boy, Crooooze.
LOL
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