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The Recession Isn’t a Few Months Away ... It's Already Started
Economy and Markets Daily ^ | 02/21/2016 | Harry Dent

Posted on 02/21/2016 11:29:14 AM PST by SeekAndFind

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To: puppypusher; blam

http://www.economicprinciples.org/

Ray Dalio’s economic machine video. Enjoy!


21 posted on 02/21/2016 2:31:40 PM PST by Cool Guy
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To: puppypusher; blam

http://www.economicprinciples.org/

Ray Dalio’s economic machine video. Enjoy!


22 posted on 02/21/2016 2:31:40 PM PST by Cool Guy
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To: chit*chat

I was talking to an elderly woman who works for Estee Lauder in an almost sweat shop. They are only allowed to work 4 hours a day and she has been there 19 years and is making a wopping $9 an hour. They keep their hours low so when the warehouse shuts down they don’t have enough put in for unemployment. I think she said they take out a couple of pennies each week. Ahhhh, Capitalism.


23 posted on 02/21/2016 3:28:58 PM PST by huldah1776 ( Vote Pro-life! Allow God to bless America before He avenges the death of the innocent.)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s the Obama recession. Well, if you want to get technical, it’s a depression. I know I have been for the last 7 years.

But let’s make sure to put a name on it, and make it stick.


24 posted on 02/21/2016 3:53:22 PM PST by AFreeBird
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To: Kenny500c
Dead wrong on the economy? Is that sarcasm, or do you really believe that?

1.59 is more indicative of collapse in demand at this point. Stay tuned. Economic indicators will be more obvious next qtr.

25 posted on 02/21/2016 5:02:34 PM PST by zek157
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To: SeekAndFind

That restaurant number is scary given the plunge in gasoline prices...


26 posted on 02/21/2016 5:05:24 PM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: CelesteChristi

That’s another category that you would think benefits from the gas/diesel price drop. Not good news.


27 posted on 02/21/2016 5:06:25 PM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: zek157

I am by nature a contrarian, it has served me well. This would be the most predicted recession I can remember if it came to pass, so I don’t think it will happen.

Remember the last recession started with gas prices at $4+ and predicted to go higher.

Of course I could be wrong but with low interest rates, low energy prices, low commodity prices I am just not seeing it, sorry.


28 posted on 02/21/2016 5:13:01 PM PST by Kenny500c
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To: Right Brother

According to this:

http://www.snaprmp.org/faqs.html#3

The EBT restaurant program is currently only in Arizona, Michigan, and California. So the impact is probably not as widespread.


29 posted on 02/21/2016 5:13:52 PM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: nascarnation

Many restaurants here in Oregon accept EBT. I think it’s more widespread than you think.


30 posted on 02/21/2016 5:23:43 PM PST by Right Brother
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To: Right Brother

We need to get MooseChelle Obama crusading against that unhealthy fast food on EBT....


31 posted on 02/21/2016 5:25:41 PM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: nascarnation

BTW, the food EBT cards here are called “Oregon Trail” cards. Amazing, isn’t it? A food stamp card with reference to a trail paved by self sufficient pioneers.


32 posted on 02/21/2016 5:26:37 PM PST by Right Brother
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To: Right Brother

Bad name for sure.
Used to play that game (in DOS) on my early computer with my daughters...circa 1993.
They still refer to it occasionally.


33 posted on 02/21/2016 5:34:09 PM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: Kenny500c

Now you are seeing a lack of demand driving the show. Transportations and the Baltic Dry Index are both in trouble. Nor are low interest rates a positive. How do you promote capital formation for future growth with effective zero interest rates? Now there’s more talk of negative rates. These are not signs of economic strength. As an aside, these years of zero interest will destroy insurance companies and pension funds too.

watch your back on this one. ZIRP didn’t work for Japan either.


34 posted on 02/21/2016 5:42:34 PM PST by zek157
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To: zek157

Like I said the market looks ahead, those numbers are all in the past. Nothing new, why is the best time to buy stocks in the depths of a recession? And the best time to sell is when everything looks rosy?


35 posted on 02/21/2016 5:51:28 PM PST by Kenny500c
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To: nascarnation

You’re right. I remember the RV industry being hit especially hard during the 2008 crash. I probably stop by PPL once a month or so. Yesterday they had 3 or 4 times the inventory they normally have. It’s a consignment site, so people are selling, but no one’s buying. With low gas prices it’s a doubly bad sign.


36 posted on 02/21/2016 7:33:54 PM PST by CelesteChristi
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