Katsick and Carson to follow.
The question is where will their voters (about 24% of the electorate in S.C.) go?
This is where Trump is going to run into trouble, I think. With every establishment candidate who drops out, their supporters are likely to move to the remaining establishment candidates. I don’t know what kind of Jeb Bush supporters would wake up tomorrow and decide that Trump is now their guy.
“The question is where will their voters (about 24% of the electorate in S.C.) go?”
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Yeb and Kasich voters are moderate GOPe...they will mainly go to Rubio...
Carson vote will fragment, but has been going to Cruz...
Trump will pick up some percent, but not as much as Rubio/Cruz...
Could get tight in many states....
Almost all of Jeb's (and eventually Kasich's) will go to Rubio, unfortunately. Carson's may split between Rubio, Cruz, and Trump.
Back to Mexico if they’re smart.
CC
Kaisch/Bush supporters go to “that nice boy” Rubio.
Carson go to the other non politcan Trump leaving the Cruz supporters the king makers.
Depending on which way they go decides who wins.
If I could talk to Trump, my advice would be to talk up what a great SC Justice Cruz would make.