Posted on 02/19/2016 4:56:54 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Friday finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential field by only 5 points in South Carolina, down from 16 points a month ago.
The RealClearPolitics average of polls still finds Trump ahead of the pack by double digits going into Saturday's South Carolina primary, but Friday's survey reports Trump has 28 percent support among likely Republican voters, down from 36 percent in January. Nearest rival Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) gets 23 percent, up from 20 last month.
Trump and Cruz are followed by Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) with 15 percent, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 13 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Ben Carson tied at 9 percent.
Trump has different rules than everybody else
He’s special or something
why isn’t Cruz killing Trump in SC when all you Cruzbots said that would happen because after all NH was an un Godly place and SC was slap full of evangelicals.. We can go back and look at all of the Cruzbot posts including yours telling us it was so.. I guess we will see tomorrow night if all of your hundred anti Trump pro Cruz threads paid off
Nope. There are a ton of polls out there showing Trump with around a 35, 12 or more points ahead of second place. Seems like a new one every day. The WSJ/NBC polls are radically off. You seem to be of the mindset of the woman parade-watcher who says, “Look. They’re all out of step except for our Jimmy.”
This is not fair. You used real math instead of new mathie”
Notice the article compares the poll with last month. Being spun as Cruz cutting into Trump’s lead, when it should really say that Cruz lost his lead from two days ago and is tanking!
So, in two days:
Cruz 28 => 23 (-5)
Trump 26 => 28 (+2)
Rubio 17 => 15 (-2)
Kasich 11 => 9 (-2)
Carson 10 => 9 (-1)
Jeb! 4 => 13 (+9)
What has to happen is that this has to get down to 3 people PRONTO. Those three will be Cruz, Rubio and Trust Fund Donnie.
Then Cruz & Rubio can fight it out. If this keeps up it’ll be like the last cycle: the NE Liberal keeps winning with 35% while the rest split up the vote.
Hank
I get concerned that these polls that show Donald up big time might be setting him up so if he doesn’t win as big as they predict, they can say he lost and slow his momentum.
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Keep an eye on the delegate totals tomorrow. Trump is poised to win the vast majority of them.
Right you are, but I fear Bush, Kasich, and Carson are too proud/stubborn to get out while there is still a chance to take Trump on. Carson, in particular, I wonder about. What does he think he is accomplishing by staying in this?
You get me wrong. I think, considering the election models they are working with, are fairly accurate. But they are super inflating the election models and underestimating the number of Republicans in their surveys. For example, the SC model for some of the polls has to have something like 1.5 mil to vote in order to be accurate. Could it? Sure. Never has though! That said, I think the Trump lead is somewhere close to 10% but has been shrinking all week. Will the Cruz GOTV game overcome that? (I think that Trump guys try to downplay it but I know it exists!)Now that is everyone’s guess. Cute little illustration about “Jimmy” but doesn’t apply here.
Couldn’t agree more about Carson. I think maybe he believes the BS about how he got jobbed in Iowa.
Have we heard from even one person yet who said he switched his vote because of that thing?
I’m 100% behind Cruz. But if Rubio emerges as the most viable opposition to Trust Fund Donnie, I’ll be 100% with Rubio. But they’d better get this sorted out quickly.
Hank
And I also have no idea why Carson is still in. Perhaps it is pride, or hurt feelings toward Cruz. Although a good man, he has proved that his is not presidential caliber.
Have we heard from even one person yet who said he switched his vote because of that thing?
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Right here Becky Smith:
Anecdotal evidence has emerged that some voters who had intended to back Carson changed their minds after hearing the news. And perhaps more significantly, a pile-on by Cruz’s opponents has kept the pressure on the Texas senator’s campaign.
In at least one case, the misinformation left its mark. Waterloo resident Becky Smith said she stepped into the George Washington Carver Academy to cast her first-ever vote in the Iowa caucuses for Carson. She registered onsite as a Republican, switching her affiliation as an independent, so she could cast her ballot. But a man helping distribute ballots - she didn’t know his name or campaign affiliation - said he had just heard that Carson was “suspending his campaign.”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3393635/posts
Ted Cruz has always said enforce existing laws.
so has everybody and their uncle except maybe Jeb
OK. There’s one....kind of. She didn’t know the name or party affiliation of the guy who said this (how convenient).
Now, if you can find 4,000 more people with similar mystery men pulling nefarious tricks, and they are willing to admit being similarly addle-brained, Trust Fund Donnie might have a case.
Hank
This NBC/WSJ SC poll has a much larger sample than the earlier NBC/WSJ national poll.
Not Trump.
Trump says he wants to round them all up, send them home where they can gather up their families and come back fast tracked legally.
Wall or no wall Trump is going to bring in about 60 million 3rd worlders legally for the rest of us to take care of with govt goodies.
Tell me again how he’s going to balance the budget with about 40 million more getting govt hand outs.
No point in arguing about polls one day before the voting.
We shall see tomorrow.
Hank: “Then Cruz & Rubio can fight it out. If this keeps up it’ll be like the last cycle: the NE Liberal keeps winning with 35% while the rest split up the vote.”
As long as Rubio and Cruz are still in the race, Donald will continue to lead the vote-getting. This will be especially costly for the winner-take-all states that are quickly coming up. One of those guys needs to “take one for the team”. And Bush and Kasich aren’t helping matters much either at the moment...
I love it!
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