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To: editor-surveyor
You are too funny. "Conniving propaganda", ha ha ha. It's just math and analysis. I've provided quite a bit of data to back up my analysis, you've provided none for your claims.

Let's take your latest claim, as your original claim I've already debunked above.

Every time a candidate has dropped out the lions share of their support has gone to Cruz.

First, let me stipulate, that if this were true this would be very good news for Cruz, and would bode well for him winning the nomination. In other words it's a a great bit of "conniving propaganda" to prop-up Ted's campaign faithful, if it's true. Is it?

Looking at the RCP National Poll Average Chart you see Cruz was at 20.3% on Feb 1, right before Iowa, and before the other candidates started dropping out.

Today he is at 21.0%. So Cruz's percentage gain from Huckabee, Santorum, Rand, Christie, Fiorina - who added up to about 9% on Feb 1 only a measley 0.7%.

That is not not the lion's share!! In fact what the data shows that it is less than 10% of those choosing a new candidate choose Cruz.

Where did those supporters go? It's pretty obvious that they went mostly to Rubio, and then to Kasich. Those are the two candidates that have had significant poll improvement since Feb 1.

Cruz has hit his ceiling, sadly. His increasingly desperate campaign reflects this - Team Cruz must surely understand that the are losing the war of attrition, and Rubio is in a good position to move into 2nd place with the next round of candidates quitting.

Trump has shown some significant weakness since Feb 1, dumping about 7 points, but has recently rebounded and gained back about 5 of them.

It's a three way race, or maybe 4 way, but only two have a real shot: Trump and Rubio.

Some may choose to stay in and play for a brokered convention. The odds of that keep rising.

Cheers!

PS: Try not to take it so personally.

59 posted on 02/18/2016 12:42:19 PM PST by Jack Black ( "Disarmament of a targeted group is one of the surest early warning signs of future genocide")
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To: Jack Black

.
Math my ass.

Push polls are pure propaganda.


60 posted on 02/18/2016 2:18:29 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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