Cruznadians say national polling means nothing in a place like SC, which is full of Religious=CruzVoter equations.
Lets let them have their rather iffy equation and ask:
If these national polling results are real, where can they realistically be a big factor in state contests?
Here is a list of states that MUST be responsive to the national Trump blowout, leaving out all Southern States (letting the Cruznadians have their Religious=CruzVoter pseudo-equation in the South), and only looking to the end of March, not beyond.
These states MUST be big Trump wins:
Nevada Feb 20
Alaska Mar 1
Colorado Mar 1
Massachusetts Mar 1
Minnesota Mar 1
Oklahoma Mar 1
Tennessee Mar 1
Vermont Mar 1
Virgina Mar 1
Kansas Mar 5
Maine Mar 5
Hawaii Mar 8
Idaho Mar 8
Michigan Mar 8
DC Mar 12
Florida Mar 15
Illinois Mar 15
Missouri Mar 15
Ohio Mar 15
Arizona Mar 22
Utah Mar 22
I live in the heart of the Carolina Bible Belt. I can tell you that my Southern Baptist neighbors:
A: Resent the term “Evangelicals.”
B: Don’t like politicians who wrap themselves in religion.
C: Are not interested in electing a Sunday School teacher for President. Instead they want someone who will go to Washington DC and kick ass and take names.
Trump leads Cruz by 20%.
Poll: Alabama is the Most Conservative State
Poll: Trump leads GOP field in Alabama
These two articles are from the past 2 weeks; AFTER Iowa, but BEFORE New Hampshire.
If Trump is 20 points ahead of Cruz in the MOST conservative state, how does Cruz compete?
Alabama votes on Super Tuesday, which is 17 days from now.
Can Cruz overtake him here (in Alabama)? Not from the people I talk to. They're pumped! 2009 TEA party level frenzy.
What if they’re not?