Posted on 02/10/2016 7:13:12 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas
...he will reap the benefits on March 1. Almost one-quarter of the available delegates are up for grabs that day, mostly in primaries in the Deep South.
That already favors Cruz, not least because his home state of Texas offers the most delegates, but Rubio's slide will help him even more. In all of those Southern states but one, candidates must reach either 15 or 20 percent of the vote to receive any delegates at all, as we noted last week.
Rubio was already only pulling about 10 percent several of those states. With his standing weakened and the so-called "establishment lane" thrown into chaos, there's a good chance, based on current polling, that no candidate besides Trump or Cruz will get above 20 percent. That means the duo can run the table on March 1, denying the other candidates even a single delegate in many of the states voting that day.
Harder contests await on Super Tuesday, and as primaries proceed to more moderate and Midwestern states. But Cruz looks to be in outstanding position by then, and is well-positioned to be the most conservative major-party nominee since Barry Goldwater in 1964.
(Excerpt) Read more at thenation.com ...
Actually, the author just phoned it in. He's parroting Dick Morris point for point.
Come Mar. 15 the winner take all states kick in. Then
we’ll begin to see how the race will really stack up.
Ok I’m not the Cruz fan I used to be. I have a real question, no snark and no tricks. Where is Cruz on the Free Trade Agreement? I keep running into contradictory info.
I hear he is pro then con. I read an op-ed he and Paul Ryan wrote for NYT last year, very pro.
Could someone clarify please?
Thanks.
Oh, here’s the editorial I am referring to
http://www.wsj.com/articles/putting-congress-in-charge-on-trade-1429659409?platform=hootsuite
This is what I’ve been praying for. Steady, solid Cruz support over the long haul.
Ooooook...The Nation. The bastion of progressivism and social liberalism. But I admire your hope. However, Trump will win SC going away, probably similar to his blowout Nh win. Then NV and a blowout win in MI where he will probably break 50%. Try as you may, Ted is a regional candidate who’s really not that strong in the region he’s supposed to be strong in. Repeat after me, President Trump.
There are actually only about 12 true winner take all states. The rest are either proportional, or what is considered a “hybrid”. That is, the winners of each congressional district get three delegates per district, and then there are additional state level delegates that either all go to the state winner, or are awarded proportionally.
Losing is the New Winning. ;-)
Since it’s the Nation, maybe they mean Charlie Sheen kind of “Winning!!”.
What this article overlooks is that Trump is leading Cruz by about 16 points in SC, I know all the polls are pre-IA and NH. Matter of fact, all the polls in the South that I’ve seen show Trump leading, except TX, where Cruz is 4 points up. We’ll see soon enough what SC will do on the 20th. I’m sure that there will be several state polls in SC, and elsewhere now that the first two contests are out of the way. Sure, Cruz won Iowa, but was crushed in NH, and people usually tend to remember the last contest more than the first.
NH shows where Cruz will end up in most places other than quirky Iowa. No matter how much he spins it, he only got 1% more votes than Rubio and 1/2% more than Jeb!
Cruz lost his momentum, bigtime. And he’s now viewed as a traditional “whatever it takes” politician.
Looking at the latest RCP polls for Georgia, this is a claim that has no bite. I like Cruz and would vote for him if Trump doesn't win, but to wishfully believe things are so because you hope they are is not healthy.
The establishment moving down the list of preferred insiders in order. At this rate they’ll be back to Jeb by Nevada.
Hey, I see Trump supporters posting stuff from Slate, Salon, HuffPo - anything that supports their candidate or their position.
Cruz never even got one delegate in NH. That is WAY different than trump’s #2 finish in IA with one less delegate than Cruz.
It is very encouraging to see that the republican side got 264000 votes and Hillary and Sanders combined got 234000.
This is the battle; illogical morons with their lips permanently fastened to government tits outnumber those of us who are paying for it all. That is a fact. Trump represents the only hope for getting enough crossover and independent votes to overcome those tit sucking parasites. Cruz simply will not pull in enough votes to do it. Trump is the only chance we have.
I will vote for whoever is the republican nominee but none but Trump stand a chance at winning this fall. The popularity of Sanders, and by default socialism, coupled with the fact the number of parasites outnumber those who make up the host proves that beyond any doubt in my mind.
That op-ed was pro on TPA. Cruz has always opposed TPP. TPA has been around since the 70's.
Yep and Cruz will not take FL. In fact I look for Trump to pretty much run the table. If Trump takes SC and NV Cruz will be practically a footnote going into the SEC. GA and AL are all in for TRump and likely every other state in the SEC except maybe Arkansas.
Where did you get that idea? All of the candidates that got over 10% will get delegates. That means even Rubio will get delegates. They just can't determine how many they all get until the votes are all counted, because it could change how many each gets.
The SC demographics match up with IA, i.e., evangelicals and self-described "strongly conservative."
Hugely different from NH.
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