Posted on 02/10/2016 7:13:12 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas
...he will reap the benefits on March 1. Almost one-quarter of the available delegates are up for grabs that day, mostly in primaries in the Deep South.
That already favors Cruz, not least because his home state of Texas offers the most delegates, but Rubio's slide will help him even more. In all of those Southern states but one, candidates must reach either 15 or 20 percent of the vote to receive any delegates at all, as we noted last week.
Rubio was already only pulling about 10 percent several of those states. With his standing weakened and the so-called "establishment lane" thrown into chaos, there's a good chance, based on current polling, that no candidate besides Trump or Cruz will get above 20 percent. That means the duo can run the table on March 1, denying the other candidates even a single delegate in many of the states voting that day.
Harder contests await on Super Tuesday, and as primaries proceed to more moderate and Midwestern states. But Cruz looks to be in outstanding position by then, and is well-positioned to be the most conservative major-party nominee since Barry Goldwater in 1964.
(Excerpt) Read more at thenation.com ...
I think it's funny the Democrats (and a few Republicans) are calling opposition to TPP "protectionism". These people have no shame.
Wait for Trump to stick his foot in his mouth AGAIN...yup it will happen. At some point in time he’ll self destruct.
Tick...tick....tick....
DELEgate count from Real Clear Politics
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html
Where have I heard that before? LOL!
Cruz has always been for “true” free trade, but as we all know that is a pipe dream in todays world. As it turned out, Obama pulled his usual tricks and kept all negotiations secret and the senate nor house could see anything. When this happened, Cruz changed his support and still holds that stance today. That crap with Mac happened also, resulting in quite some bad blood. The supposed republican team mates did not happen.
Now the final approval votes need to take place and I think the congress will see the discord in the electorate on both sides of the aisle and kill it. If it is DOA Obama will have a snit fit and I will love it.
Why Ted Cruz is now the Republican front-runnerMANCHESTER, N.H.
Donald Trump may have come out of New Hampshire with the victory, but Sen. Ted Cruz has emerged as the Republican front-runner.Though Trump's victory in New Hampshire was no doubt impressive, the electorate of independent voters and super high turnout was tailor-made for him, whereas Cruz didn't put substantial effort into winning the state — where very conservative candidates don't typically do as well. He is currently in position to win third here, with votes still outstanding.
As the race moves to South Carolina, however, Cruz has a ground game in place and the electorate is much more tailored to his strengths.
In Iowa, Cruz dominated Trump among "very conservative" voters, who made up 40 percent of the electorate, and evangelicals, who made up 62 percent of voters. But when it came to New Hampshire, evangelicals only comprised 25 percent of the electorate and "very conservative" voters dropped to 27 percent.
The South Carolina electorate is much closer to the Iowa electorate. In 2012, evangelicals were 65 percent of the electorate and very conservative voters were 36 percent of the electorate.
Furthermore, in Iowa, Cruz had to fend off Ben Carson, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, who were all competing for similar voters. Carson received 9 percent in Iowa, and though Huckabee didn't perform well, he did serve as an anti-Cruz attack dog to evangelicals. Now, Huckabee and Santorum are out, and Carson enters South Carolina greatly hobbled.
Though the RealClearPolitics average currently has Trump up 16 points over Cruz in South Carolina, that's misleading, because none of the polls were taken after Cruz's win in Iowa.
Furthermore, now that the field has narrowed down and Trump has won a primary and proven himself a serious threat, there will be a lot more focus on his liberal record, on abortion, guns, healthcare, property rights, among other issues. It won't dissuade his strongest supporters, but it doesn't matter, because it will discourage enough very conservative voters and evangelicals to give Cruz the victory.
Which brings us to Rubio's poor performance in New Hampshire. The fact that Cruz was able to best Rubio in a more moderate state where Rubio should have been a lot stronger, is more good news for Cruz.
Had Rubio won a strong second in New Hampshire, he could have knocked Kasich and Bush out of the race and emerged as a serious threat in South Carolina. Now Rubio will still have to spend his time in the state trying to fend of Jeb Bush and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
Should Cruz carry South Carolina, he will have won two out of the first three primary states, severely wounding both Trump and Rubio. That's why he should be considered the front-runner.
According to this, Cruz gets two delegates....
Alot of the results aren't showing Cruz with any because the results haven't been finalized, cnn is showing 92$ reporting....
One thing coming in Trump's future is the release of correspondence from the Clinton library.
Clinton Library set to release Donald Trump records
http://www.politico.com/blogs/under-the-radar/2016/01/clinton-library-set-to-release-donald-trump-records-218007#ixzz3zmQxBnqQ
The OP Ed was on TPA which Cruz eventually voted against because the immigration language he and Sessions wanted was not in the final bill and also because McConnell made a back room deal on EX-Im Bank.
Cruz has stated unequivocally that he is a against the TPP trade deal for many reasons, not the least of which that it cedes our sovereignty.
No snark here really but Cruz will be where he needs to be for donors when the time comes. It’s one of my biggest complaints about him that he pushed TPA, voted for cloture, then changed his vote when it wasn’t needed.
“Few expected a hard-charging conservative from Texas to do well in a state known for giving moderate Republicans like John McCain and Mitt Romney primary victories.”
Part of Trump’s agenda:
1. Replace Obamacare with a free market alternative
2. Build a wall on southern border
3. Deport all illegals
4. Re-negotiate trade deals
5. Re-do Iranian agreement
6. Rebuild military
7. Make America great again, and all that that entails
8. Temporary ban on Muslim immigration to the United States
9. Defeat Isis quickly
10. Get rid of Common Core
11. Appoint conservatives to the Supreme Court
Question to Cruz supporters and pundits:
Which one of these items is NOT conservative?
How is Cruz running to the right of Trump on any issue?
Interesting that the author mentions President Goldwater. /s
Running to the Right vs Is to the Right....
Cruz spent $18 per vote in NH. Jeb spent over a thousand. And Cruz still beat him.
You refer to Iowa as quirky. In NH anyone, of any party or no party can vote in the Republican primary. Voters were still deciding which party to vote for on election day. That’s a lot of quirk, right there. I see the big race in NH as between Bernie and Donald, and Bernie won.
“Running to the Right vs Is to the Right...”
That statement gets to the heart of what I find “cultic” about Cruz’s supporters: he is assigned a purity seldom achieved by a human being, his mere state of being is one of near divinity.
He has an ad out to the effect that, “When I say I will do such and such, you can count on it.”
Yeah, like helping Ryan to roll out, praising, and then voting for TPA and then not voting for it when his vote is no longer needed?
Like criticizing and trying to stop the Corker bill, and then being malleable enough vote for it when the time to vote comes up? And then goes about the country condemning his own vote (the bill)?
Bull, below is what Cruz wrote about the Trans Pacific Partnership, TPP. Before TPA/TPP became unpopular with conservatives voters.
The United States is making headway on two historic trade agreements, one (TPP) with 11 countries on the Pacific Rim and another with America's friends in Europe. These two agreements alone would mean greater access to a billion customers for American manufacturers, farmers and ranchers.
[And he’s now viewed as a traditional “whatever it takes†politician.]
Only in your eyes, bigbob.
Not cultist...just he is the most consistent conservative I have seen in a long time. Do I think he is perfect, no.. far from it.
I have seen a multitude of politicians “become” conservative when it came time to run for President.
Trump is running to the right. Cruz has been consistently at the right.... he is not changing direction and having to run to the right.
He will. The rules for the primary are that the delegates are apportioned to all candidates that get more than 10%. Trump hasn't got any yet either - that is just what they are estimating he will get. None of the delegates are awarded until the count is final.
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