Posted on 02/10/2016 6:12:21 AM PST by justlittleoleme
My gut (and let’s be fair, almost every analyst was united on this one) turned out to be correct; Rubio’s momentum coming out of Iowa was effectively killed on Saturday.
-snip-
What is more, the fact that non-affiliated voters are allowed to vote in the primaries rewards candidates who are perceived as moderate and authentic.
But here’s the thing: Maybe I’ll be proven wrong, but I’m skeptical Kasich can replicate this in other states where conservative voters matter a lot more in primaries.
-snip-
My guess is that Tuesday night will be the highlight of Kasich’s 2016 campaign.
So the really interesting point is that I think the big winner of the night is Ted Cruz . The primaries are about to head South, which is Cruz country. Unlike other Evangelical candidates who win Iowa but can’t parlay that into more, Cruz’s respectable finish in New Hampshire demonstrates that he’s not simply a regional candidate.
If you think about what happened on Tuesday night, Cruz swapped a serious rival (Rubio) for a guy who likely is a one-hit wonder (Kasich). That’s a trade he will take every day and twice on Sundays. Because the “establishment” lane is now muddled and muddy (even Jeb Bush is looking better these days!), there is a real danger that mainstream conservative voters could begin to coalesce around Cruz as the best, last hope to stop Donald Trump.
We’re not quite there yet. There’s still a chance that someone else could emerge. Maybe Rubio pulls out a surprise win in South Carolina? It ain’t over till it’s over. But we are getting dangerously close to entering a stage where it becomes a Trump vs. Cruz race.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Trump and Cruz will split the evangelical vote in SC. Then Trump will pick up more support across the board that TPA Washington Cartel Ted will not get. Cruz you lose.
We’ll see.
I don’t know how we’re going to get more Tea Party conservatives in Congress if people who should’ve been their base treat them as poorly as many are treating Cruz. Why bother trying to help people who don’t appreciate it? If someone says Cruz is a good man and a good Senator but they just prefer Trump, that’s one thing. But the bashing of one of the most conservative people in government is unconscionable for anyone who claims to be against progessives and socialists.
It is now 394-42, Hillary, despite being 32-32 in IA and NH regular delegates.
Cruz never even got one delegate in NH. That is WAY different than trump’s #2 finish in IA with one less delegate than Cruz.
This is the battle; illogical morons with their lips permanently fastened to government tits outnumber those of us who are paying for it all. That is a fact. Trump represents the only hope for getting enough crossover and independent votes to overcome those tit sucking parasites. Cruz simply will not pull in enough votes to do it. Trump is the only chance we have.
I will vote for whoever is the republican nominee but none but Trump stand a chance at winning this fall. The popularity of Sanders and by default socialism coupled with the fact the number of parasites outnumber those who make up the host proves that beyond any doubt.
And on Mar 15 the winner take all states begin to have their primaries.
Lots of time left as you say.
That makes no sense at all. Wait until Bernie voters figure that out.
“Trump WON ... everything else is BS”
__________________________________________________
Cruz supporter here...Trump did win big last night, more than doubling the 2nd place finisher, Kasich. It was an excellent night for Trump supporters!
The point of this article is that if the 5 RINO candidates remain in the race, the GOPe lane will likely remain muddled and fractured. This will leave Trump and Cruz duking it out for 1st & 2nd in upcoming primaries, many of which may be favorable to Cruz.
So, here’s the deal...by my math, the GOPe RINO forces (Mailbags Johnny, Jebra, Kid Rubio, Krispy Kreme, and iCarly) secured 49.1% of the vote in NH. Theoretically, if there had been only one Establishment candidate in NH, Trump might not have won last night. The point is that these early states are designed to winnow out the field. But, the NH results last night may allow most of these RINO types to stay in longer. We shall inevitably see some of these candidates drop out, some (e.g. Krispy already making noise) possibly leaving before the SC primary. But, the race could remain static for the next few weeks.
The big question is can Trump now get this vote to coalesce behind him. He should certainly gain some momentum from the NH win. But, I think there is the possibility that the GOPe may send marching orders to 4 of the remaining RINO types to cease & desist...and, the GOPe pushes for one Establishment candidate, Kasich. On the other hand, I think it’s also very possible that the GOPe folds and fully embraces Trump. It will be interesting to watch in the coming days....
Insults and childish taunting aside, NH conservatives are only now considered conservatives. It used to be the state that flagged the most liberal republican of the bunch to most here.
By the time the primaries are done, how short will the list be of positions and opinions that Trump supporters hold consistent with what they were before his candidacy?
I like Cruz, but my support of him is contingent with how well he represents my values and beliefs. He doesn’t have the power to change my values and beliefs.
According to this, Cruz gets two delegates....
Alot of the results aren't showing Cruz with any because the results haven't been finalized, cnn is showing 92$ reporting....
One thing coming in Trump's future is the release of correspondence from the Clinton library.
Clinton Library set to release Donald Trump records
http://www.politico.com/blogs/under-the-radar/2016/01/clinton-library-set-to-release-donald-trump-records-218007#ixzz3zmQxBnqQ
Cruz got 12 per cent and spent the least amount of money per vote. Fox hates Cruz and does everything they can to ignore him. Believe me, when and if he makes a mistake, Cruz will be the lead story on the nightly news.
exactly!!!!! They applauded CRUZ when he stood up against every OTHER SENATOR on the floor against Obamacare. GO CRUZ GO.. GO TED GO!!... you can go back to the threads on Free Republic and read for yourselves.
NOW they are crucifying him.... it is unreal.
If TRUMP is elected, the RINO establishment will have won their final victory. American conservatism, will be officially dead.
I have a feeling Rinse Penis and the rest of the RNC are busy rewriting the delegate rules for next time to be more in line with the DNC. Hillary’s currently beating Sanders 10 to 1 in delegates,
In the overall delegate count, Clinton holds a commanding lead after a razor-thin victory in Iowa and a shellacking in New Hampshire. Clinton has 394 delegates, both super and electorally assigned, to only 42 for Sanders.
Fox News is the propaganda arm of the GOP establishment.
Conservative meaning the voters who like to “conserve” things?
No, conservative meaning actual conservative values, even if not a Cruz supporter.
(I know, I know, only a Cruz supporter can be a true conservative, blah, blah, blah, blah.)
Yep, Yes, and Correct Carly without even being part of a debate, did very well. I hope to see more of her at another debate. Her voice is needed.
Cruz got 12 per cent and spent the least amount of money per vote
Oh really? Trump hasn’t spent much and he got 3 times the vote Cruz did. Trump paid the least, stop lying.
And its not over yet still lots of votes to be counted this morning. Its a 3 way tie 3 candidates separated by less than 1% and that could change the lead we don’t know. Plus someone might ask for a recount.
84% precincts reporting
Ted Cruz 30,071 votes (-62,154) 11.6%
Jeb Bush 28,617 votes (-63,608) 11.0%
Marco Rubio 27,764 votes (-64,461) 10.7%
A statistical tie. Note Trump had more votes than all 3 men combined now that is a Big Big Win
Trump yesterday was ahead in SC by 16% this should push that over to over 20%. This is the establishments last stand, because NV. is going to go for Trump.
....so if two of those candidates eventually pull out of the race... ?? It will bring some stiff competition to TRUMP!!
ROTFLMAO!
Kung fu Kasich!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.