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Carson told CNN he would not be going to NH or SC, and his campaign website shows the same thing. No campaign events at all. Why tell CNN that, knowing they would report it, if you wanted your supporters to think their votes for you wouldn’t be wasted?

His NH staff all quit Sunday, saying they love him but need to work with somebody who can win - so they joined the Cruz campaign. I’ve posted the details elsewhere, but it seems to me that he probably told those staffers that he was going to step down this week, and Cruz’s team confirmed from these people (who are now in the Cruz campaign) that this is what Carson had told them, that led to their switching camps. There was a now-deleted tweet where one of Cruz’s big guys said they had confirmed with Carson’s NH people Carson’s plan to leave the race.

Why go home for a change of clothes? It all just seems like Carson was going to end the candidacy this week but when CNN actually aired that he was acting like he’d bow out, by not going to NH or SC, he changed his mind. Once he did that he had to blame somebody, so he first blamed CNN and then blamed Cruz. The Cruz camp didn’t want to get the NH staffers in trouble as confirming what Carson then changed his mind on so instead of making trouble Cruz apologized for not updating the story when Carson indicated he wasn’t quitting.

The only campaigning Carson has been doing now is going on the media shows that hate Cruz and blaming him for passing on Carson’s plans to not go to NH or SC (and his campaign website STILL has no campaign events listed)

The exit polls showed that a LOT of people decided late who they were going to vote for, and Trump turned liberal for the NH crowd already on Sunday, talking about universal healthcare. The people who broke late turned away from Trump, and I suspect it was because of that liberal turn too soon.