New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll February 1-2, 2016

Harper Polling ^ | 2/3/16 | Harper Polling

[BigEdLB]

Donald Trump maintains a strong lead in New Hampshire, earning 31% of the vote on the Presidential Republican Primary ballot test. Jeb Bush (14%) leads the field in the race for second place, followed by John Kasich (12%) and more distantly by Marco Rubio (10%), Ted Cruz (9%) and Chris Christie (6%). Note: The results from night two of our survey were largely unchanged from pre-Iowa Caucus results on Monday night.

Trump’s advantage increases among likely voters who self-affiliate with the Republican Party (34%, Bush 16%). He leads John Kasich among likely independent primary voters (23%, Kasich 16%, Rubio 12%, Bush 11%) while Trump (20%) and Fiorina (20%) tie among Democrats who say they are likely to vote in the Republican primary.

Although Trump leads in every region of the state, Jeb Bush increases his proportion of the vote substantially in the Boston (18%) and Portland-Auburn (21%) media markets. Jeb Bush (15%) and Marco Rubio (15%) tie for second in the Burlington- Plattsburgh market and Kasich pulls into second in Hillsborough County (18%) and Rockingham County (11%). Trump has comparable leads among both women (28%, Bush 18%) and men (32%, Kasich 14%).

[deport]

In 2012 New Hampshire had 33 candidates on the GOP Primary ballot. Small potatoes compared
to 2016 were there are some 170+ no names in addition to the 10 better knowns.

http://www.politics1.com/p2016.htm

[dartuser]

If Bush takes 2nd in NH, Rubio’s Iowa surge would be crushed, and we would be back to a 2 man race between Trump and Cruz.

Not sure how you figure that ... Cruz is polling single digits in NH ... if anything it will show that Iowa was the usual fluke that it always is.

Now if Cruz finishes 1st or 2nd in NH ... and actually wins 3 of the first 4, or 8 of the first 10 ... then he has my attention ... and will have my support.

[TexasFreeper2009]

I said that based on current polling out of South Carolina which shows Cruz running a strong 2nd there, and everyone else barely on the radar.

How Cruz finishes in NH is irrelevant. There is almost no downside in NH for Cruz (since he ins’t expected to do well there) and nearly all up side since any performance in NH that is not abysmal will be seen as over performing.

[Theodore R.]

What about bellman at a swank hotel?